Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd548f81d61927511b75416bf486b776287dad0d4af12b2cc4a9dc6d1ee107189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,602,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,541,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,602,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 607 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 2c | 113,483$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.69 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 1c | 68,336$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 3c | 62,467$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 6c | 57,489$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.28 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 0c | 36,118$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 25,440$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.37 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 23,529$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.47 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 8c | 21,000$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.98 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 1c | 19,300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 1c | 19,164$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.61 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 17,842$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.91 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…38acbacked Yes | 12c | 16,779$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…882abacked Yes | 6c | 16,516$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 2c | 16,371$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 2c | 15,286$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 5c | 15,277$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 4c | 14,729$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.56 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 22c | 14,380$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 13,700$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed Yes | 1c | 13,333$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 6c | 12,467$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.03 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 68c | 11,636$7,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 4c | 11,569$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 79c | 10,071$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,603$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028c…2419backed Yes | 9c | 8,596$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 55c | 8,532$4,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 45c | 8,196$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,511.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…24e9backed Yes | 3c | 8,110$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 70c | 7,999$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 12c | 7,697$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.15 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…1790backed Yes | 7c | 7,252$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 2c | 6,307$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 3c | 6,246$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 2c | 5,798$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,700$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…a25ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,523$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 4c | 5,423$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…ffa5backed Yes | 3c | 5,388$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,122$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…ac22backed Yes | 26c | 5,027$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dd…b761backed Yes | 2c | 5,007$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…46dfbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…6ce0backed Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…d9a0backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…5fa6backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36e…09e8backed Yes | 2c | 4,887$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…c403backed No | 71c | 4,754$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…cb80backed Yes | 3c | 4,565$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Yes | 10c | 4,515$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…e964backed Yes | 2c | 4,498$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 7c | 4,471$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 2c | 4,383$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 16cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed Yes | 36c | 4,109$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…6ce6backed Yes | 3c | 4,109$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…2925backed Yes | 3c | 4,062$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…3dbabacked Yes | 6c | 3,994$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 3,919$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 6c | 3,899$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 30c | 3,890$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.37 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 17c | 3,825$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.57 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…39f3backed Yes | 40c | 3,683$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…ab48backed Yes | 2c | 3,501$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…28f9backed Yes | 30c | 3,445$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.74 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…1db6backed Yes | 27c | 3,276$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 3c | 3,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…2eddbacked Yes | 7c | 3,231$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…7976backed Yes | 4c | 3,151$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 2c | 3,112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 11c | 3,097$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…a1dcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,846$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,845$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked Yes | 19c | 2,784$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.1 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 5c | 2,723$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.57 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,691$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,689$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,656$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…00e9backed Yes | 5c | 2,640$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…bcddbacked Yes | 3c | 2,635$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 64c | 2,521$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,498$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…ab3abacked Yes | 2c | 2,488$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…6d56backed Yes | 3c | 2,465$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 26c | 2,428$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…ca8ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,328$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed No | 70c | 2,312$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.66 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…bc55backed No | 75c | 2,310$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…3c67backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 4c | 2,272$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…95c1backed Yes | 2c | 2,250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c25…7c3bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,206$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf5…149bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,177$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 9c | 2,116$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…60b2backed Yes | 3c | 2,031$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.