Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad10b05e536a030e250fa6f19e5ffc95133d87d34c084f8cd2075e129332cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,444,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,456,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,444,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 51c | 60,874$30,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,860.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 55c | 56,652$31,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,544.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 46c | 36,797$17,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,704.34 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 49c | 33,520$16,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,479.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 42c | 33,148$14,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,011.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 45c | 31,537$14,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,337.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…4982backed No | 48c | 28,892$13,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,821.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 57c | 21,252$12,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,039.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 51c | 20,267$10,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,837.3 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 50c | 19,895$9,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,927.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 48c | 18,879$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,068.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 53c | 18,734$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,870.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…4278backed No | 56c | 18,646$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,410 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked Yes | 52c | 17,301$8,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 45c | 17,185$7,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,384.37 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 53c | 16,388$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,692.91 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 49c | 14,782$7,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,569.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 44c | 14,087$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,198.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 50c | 13,700$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,895.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 48c | 13,686$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 52c | 13,233$6,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 54c | 13,064$7,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,017.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…9407backed No | 44c | 12,971$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 46c | 12,893$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 43c | 12,823$5,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,309.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 52c | 12,602$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 39c | 11,762$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09c…f710backed No | 58c | 11,653$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 47c | 11,441$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 1c | 11,093$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…d9a0backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 45c | 9,705$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 41c | 9,593$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 47c | 9,190$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 51c | 8,776$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 58c | 8,732$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 8,415$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.15 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked No | 50c | 8,315$4,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,150.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 37c | 7,054$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked No | 61c | 7,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…d528backed No | 61c | 6,981$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 29c | 6,877$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 6c | 6,498$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 29c | 6,492$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…8d22backed No | 46c | 6,460$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…c01abacked No | 43c | 6,352$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 52c | 6,331$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…0179backed No | 50c | 6,194$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,094.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…e1eebacked No | 50c | 5,997$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…92eebacked No | 46c | 5,989$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 5,873$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.37 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 55c | 5,659$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed Yes | 62c | 5,500$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9a…7991backed Yes | 73c | 5,247$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 55c | 5,195$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 51c | 5,088$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 48c | 5,022$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…9be0backed Yes | 60c | 4,966$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 62c | 4,946$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 63c | 4,912$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.39 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 52c | 4,912$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 41c | 4,883$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9552…0b25backed No | 43c | 4,806$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Yes | 53c | 4,755$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 57c | 4,738$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked No | 50c | 4,552$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…ab3abacked Yes | 59c | 4,443$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 43c | 4,427$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.83 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 66c | 4,358$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…c5f8backed Yes | 69c | 4,354$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked No | 44c | 4,315$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,277$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 56c | 4,241$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 4,171$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…6dadbacked No | 50c | 4,127$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011a…ca8ebacked Yes | 45c | 4,086$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 52c | 4,082$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed No | 26c | 4,071$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Yes | 65c | 3,915$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked No | 59c | 3,892$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 58c | 3,871$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…62e0backed Yes | 55c | 3,860$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 54c | 3,808$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Yes | 67c | 3,664$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x566d…d58fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,650$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 58c | 3,626$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed No | 57c | 3,575$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 58c | 3,562$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed Yes | 59c | 3,500$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…586abacked Yes | 55c | 3,417$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 57c | 3,379$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 51c | 3,144$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +191%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e90fbacked Yes | 51c | 3,143$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 33c | 3,008$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6302…7917backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 60c | 2,970$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 46c | 2,963$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.49 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.