Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonseca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f29a89cda687ee85856b030ac53f99580c5f4bdc44d180b2249cd19f7f6d64c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fonsecaof Shapovalov, Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $829,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Shapovalov | 44c | 158,023$69,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,529.91 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Fonseca | 56c | 156,238$87,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,742.35 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…d4adbacked Fonseca | 51c | 25,000$12,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,324.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Shapovalov | 18c | 19,475$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.22 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shapovalov | 46c | 14,702$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700.66 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Shapovalov | 40c | 11,805$4,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,682.24 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Shapovalov | 26c | 11,000$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.17 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Fonseca | 73c | 10,395$7,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.85 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fonseca | 61c | 8,708$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shapovalov | 38c | 7,743$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Fonseca | 54c | 5,999$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.54 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Fonseca | 62c | 5,972$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.77 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Shapovalov | 58c | 5,764$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Shapovalov | 15c | 5,487$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Shapovalov | 45c | 4,985$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.12 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shapovalov | 39c | 4,878$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Shapovalov | 50c | 4,809$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.13 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shapovalov | 42c | 4,713$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.14 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Fonseca | 50c | 4,153$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.54 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Shapovalov | 38c | 3,600$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Fonseca | 40c | 3,571$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Shapovalov | 45c | 3,000$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Fonseca | 76c | 2,779$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Fonseca | 78c | 2,750$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Fonseca | 58c | 2,685$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.88 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Fonseca | 76c | 2,604$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fonseca | 62c | 2,560$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.67 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Fonseca | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Fonseca | 61c | 2,398$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Shapovalov | 38c | 2,151$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.27 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Fonseca | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Shapovalov | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Fonseca | 60c | 1,803$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.2 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Fonseca | 59c | 1,692$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.19 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0286backed Shapovalov | 45c | 1,623$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Fonseca | 53c | 1,499$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Fonseca | 65c | 1,495$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Shapovalov | 38c | 1,380$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.4 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Fonseca | 55c | 1,267$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.27 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc7…cf36backed Shapovalov | 44c | 1,260$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Fonseca | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.23 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…d09bbacked Shapovalov | 32c | 1,188$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.09 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Fonseca | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.34 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Fonseca | 62c | 1,022$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.21 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Fonseca | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Shapovalov | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Shapovalov | 15c | 999.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Shapovalov | 39c | 999.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…8486backed Fonseca | 67c | 945.29$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Fonseca | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Fonseca | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Shapovalov | 24c | 863.9$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Shapovalov | 23c | 854.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Fonseca | 80c | 800.46$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Fonseca | 51c | 799.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shapovalov | 43c | 796.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.68 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Shapovalov | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Shapovalov | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Fonseca | 55c | 729.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.16 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Fonseca | 55c | 720.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.89 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Shapovalov | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Fonseca | 68c | 650$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.21 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shapovalov | 37c | 648.47$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Fonseca | 80c | 626.42$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0bddbacked Fonseca | 60c | 609.95$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Shapovalov | 34c | 599.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Shapovalov | 18c | 574.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Shapovalov | 42c | 533.09$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Shapovalov | 38c | 520.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Shapovalov | 38c | 514.41$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fonseca | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Fonseca | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…006ebacked Fonseca | 77c | 498.18$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Shapovalov | 42c | 468.89$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Shapovalov | 43c | 464.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Shapovalov | 41c | 448.78$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Shapovalov | 39c | 444.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…7d5fbacked Fonseca | 71c | 440.82$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shapovalov | 32c | 434.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…6355backed Shapovalov | 39c | 430$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…e6dbbacked Fonseca | 61c | 430$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…d5acbacked Shapovalov | 38c | 428.95$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Fonseca | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Shapovalov | 41c | 395.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed Shapovalov | 53c | 376.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Fonseca | 70c | 365.49$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Fonseca | 60c | 357.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Fonseca | 34c | 352.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…b06dbacked Fonseca | 58c | 350.19$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed Fonseca | 60c | 342.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shapovalov | 51c | 339.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Fonseca | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fonseca | 64c | 313.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Fonseca | 59c | 300.28$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Fonseca | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…ba65backed Shapovalov | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Fonseca | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Fonseca | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…893bbacked Shapovalov | 29c | 275.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Fonseca | 77c | 270.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.