TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobolli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Shelton, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$739,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,010,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Cobolli50c235,822$118,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,856.9410845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Shelton50c234,853$116,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,215.957857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Cobolli51c33,229$16,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,920.5422037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Shelton49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,30066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x620b…d4adbacked Cobolli52c25,332$13,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,297.231936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Cobolli53c13,370$7,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,027.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Shelton49c12,880$6,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,559.252844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Shelton47c12,141$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,434.961,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cobolli50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00027063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Shelton50c8,774$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,386.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Cobolli49c5,700$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.722450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Cobolli11c5,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.982520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0584…de3ebacked Cobolli55c5,498$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cobolli5c5,340$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Cobolli21c4,978$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.1124841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cobolli52c4,001$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1008142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Shelton44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2402770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Cobolli23c4,000$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92515151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Cobolli47c3,970$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.9116644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Shelton47c3,703$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.7211343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Shelton47c3,600$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9087147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Cobolli50c3,351$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6666747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Shelton47c3,209$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.039546.3%44 W · 51 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shelton69c2,882$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.362,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Shelton48c2,864$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.046147.5%29 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Cobolli52c2,695$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.331942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Cobolli59c2,614$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.2613260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Shelton46c2,613$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.137342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.981,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Cobolli51c2,264$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.647356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shelton48c2,079$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.0820653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c8…f2efbacked Shelton48c2,057$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Shelton44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+84%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Shelton50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0005448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Shelton50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0003429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Shelton80c1,874$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.812152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa39b…c698backed Shelton49c1,802$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9517…6daabacked Cobolli51c1,802$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.0230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…7eb4backed Shelton49c1,783$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8384…b597backed Cobolli51c1,783$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab2…3899backed Cobolli52c1,768$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Cobolli55c1,750$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.4821147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Shelton47c1,687$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.9413935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d57…79fcbacked Shelton48c1,648$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shelton50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80028952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Shelton50c1,535$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.518237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Cobolli57c1,479$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8433265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Shelton48c1,411$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.2459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shelton76c1,382$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Shelton47c1,276$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.244751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b04…e7c7backed Cobolli51c1,267$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8035backed Shelton49c1,267$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Shelton47c1,251$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.061353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Cobolli48c1,238$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.181827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Cobolli53c1,150$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.58143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd0…2445backed Cobolli51c1,150$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Shelton48c1,104$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shelton59c1,029$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.552,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Cobolli50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd077…b875backed Shelton49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…f11abacked Cobolli51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Shelton49c996.72$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.4730339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Shelton46c989.99$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.66126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Cobolli52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Cobolli54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Shelton46c901$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.5415832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shelton76c881.78$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Shelton48c830$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2666…0d98backed Shelton48c808.67$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Shelton48c776.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.0457645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Cobolli51c705.88$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3607957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Shelton60c700$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2784946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Cobolli51c681.83$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.353228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdb5…44bdbacked Shelton78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Cobolli42c616.71$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4328139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Shelton47c589.68$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Cobolli34c588.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006145.9%28 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Cobolli51c582.05$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.857238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Shelton50c571.53$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.045362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8396…e909backed Shelton54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Shelton47c553.19$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.192572%18 W · 7 L+5.9wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+97.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Shelton49c539.22$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27519835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Cobolli51c531.37$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2719961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Shelton48c521$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.925632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Shelton62c519.68$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.591,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Shelton47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26529636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0134…0e59backed Shelton47c499.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8042…5193backed Cobolli53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Cobolli54c488.57$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2645050%25 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Shelton53c480.42$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2278643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Cobolli54c463.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Cobolli53c452.3$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.722147.6%10 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4557…4212backed Shelton45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Shelton50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22211647.4%55 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Shelton49c441.54$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.268148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Cobolli54c436.68$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2354348.8%21 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Cobolli42c429.86$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18013435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Shelton48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa333…292bbacked Cobolli25c407.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Shelton78c400$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.