World Politics · resolved market
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd048e23de007e5ad73d6b5f47522e771b48d93ad9d2b755d107a474e57892e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 78c | 49,921$39,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,754.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 21c | 11,036$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,723.94 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 5,999$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.61 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 23c | 5,496$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 60c | 5,172$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.22 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 44c | 4,396$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.13 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…7d0fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,783$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…0234backed Yes | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 50c | 1,967$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.61 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 67c | 1,747$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.17 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 1,490$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5a…9f6bbacked No | 13c | 1,430$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 25c | 1,328$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 50c | 1,313$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.42 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked No | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…c40dbacked No | 38c | 1,213$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251c…0292backed No | 40c | 1,180$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 31c | 1,010$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.8 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…a262backed No | 39c | 1,000$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 29c | 1,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 79c | 1,000$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 976.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 70c | 908.32$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.47 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 33c | 861.83$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…110dbacked Yes | 25c | 797.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +231.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 749.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…f824backed No | 18c | 699.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…3f03backed No | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes | 64c | 591.61$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 61c | 573.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 78c | 555$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 73c | 531.49$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.07 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 51c | 529.17$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked No | 49c | 505.52$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 29c | 470.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed Yes | 78c | 466.54$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 34c | 408.07$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.56 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed No | 31c | 402.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 326.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.7 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…d8efbacked Yes | 21c | 304.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…d846backed No | 36c | 300.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 38c | 288.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 75c | 272.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…b12abacked No | 41c | 270$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 78c | 256.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 17c | 255$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 62c | 250$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4365…4076backed No | 37c | 230.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…1c61backed No | 14c | 198.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…da5abacked Yes | 66c | 196.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…cab9backed No | 58c | 196.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 13c | 195.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.31per pick | 15cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 187.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…c772backed Yes | 22c | 182.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 8c | 177.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…2d87backed No | 42c | 176.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 66c | 174.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…310fbacked No | 60c | 165.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 160.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 64c | 156.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ee…19f6backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 22cpaid | +1,036.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…610dbacked Yes | 64c | 140.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 74c | 135.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74af…8988backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +406%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…b401backed No | 43c | 117.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f7…7a46backed Yes | 79c | 113.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…b8b6backed Yes | 30c | 109.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked No | 46c | 109.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 40c | 106.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…1ac2backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…9914backed Yes | 24c | 102.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…3135backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…2f43backed No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…7374backed No | 24c | 90.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 34c | 87.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 18c | 86.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 21c | 84.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148a…7e84backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 24c | 82.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af5…46d3backed Yes | 63c | 80.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…7a67backed Yes | 25c | 77.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 19c | 74.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 79c | 74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…2511backed No | 37c | 72.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 68.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 74c | 65.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fa9ebacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…e77abacked Yes | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.