World Politics · resolved market
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d09ae9b528352527f0b082fd41200659f405982d4bbd99e77f9bab666619155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 56c | 13,367$7,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 11,525$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 59c | 10,303$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.38 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…d15cbacked Yes | 36c | 5,340$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.72 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 42c | 4,653$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.85 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 33c | 4,430$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.51 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 15c | 4,154$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 78c | 3,830$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…5f71backed Yes | 14c | 3,555$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 2,976$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.98 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 27c | 2,280$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.34 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +223.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked Yes | 42c | 2,119$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…d882backed Yes | 47c | 2,086$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…070ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,754$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 12c | 1,561$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 65c | 1,293$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…e8d9backed No | 77c | 1,211$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…2f43backed Yes | 11c | 1,179$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed No | 55c | 1,053$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.31 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…e615backed No | 50c | 997.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.84 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 9c | 950$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 72c | 889.55$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.48 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 75c | 843.51$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca6…a262backed Yes | 11c | 833$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbd…3008backed Yes | 12c | 715.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…f56cbacked Yes | 23c | 709.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889b…1aa6backed Yes | 50c | 697.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…99cabacked Yes | 16c | 686.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 40c | 643.01$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…f110backed Yes | 11c | 597.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…2467backed Yes | 12c | 572.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed No | 77c | 556.76$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked No | 58c | 461.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.59 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…ab91backed No | 67c | 450.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…19e9backed Yes | 44c | 409.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 37c | 408.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 49c | 407.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.83 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 58c | 345.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c65…e105backed Yes | 29c | 344.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 344.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 316.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…3acbbacked Yes | 41c | 315.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…377abacked Yes | 33c | 309.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…b0a4backed Yes | 47c | 294.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 56c | 292.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 278.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 79c | 277.26$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 15c | 268$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 70c | 262.69$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 8c | 255.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…3269backed Yes | 45c | 246.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Yes | 44c | 227.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…0aadbacked Yes | 13c | 225.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 50c | 222$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.85 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 65c | 210.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 29c | 206.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed Yes | 9c | 203.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…c40dbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…8529backed Yes | 57c | 189.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 71c | 189.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53f…0d03backed Yes | 39c | 185.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…394fbacked No | 57c | 174.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 40c | 165.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 61c | 162.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…f547backed Yes | 32c | 158.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…9d93backed Yes | 48c | 153.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…ef98backed Yes | 40c | 137.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…8694backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…78f9backed No | 79c | 132.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b64ebacked Yes | 44c | 128.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 67c | 115.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddde…2e88backed Yes | 10c | 114.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…d483backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b1d5backed Yes | 48c | 104.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 35c | 100.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…6cf1backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…71b7backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 53c | 96.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7af…9cd1backed Yes | 16c | 94.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed No | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…c5aabacked Yes | 44c | 90.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…08a4backed Yes | 45c | 89.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed Yes | 58c | 85.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?this page
- Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
- Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.