TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79eb…f471

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.29
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$74.47
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$4.81
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+105.2%+$62.69
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$810.86
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+126.8%+$50.71
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+154.3%+$30.86
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$340.71
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.9%+$26.33
Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+36.7%+$112.72
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.72
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+157.2%+$218.29
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.71
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+53.4%+$20.41
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+54%+$73.66
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-55.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$412.06
Will there be no coalition by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$69.88
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+140%+$389.28
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+135.3%+$54.13
Will JA21 win fewer than 9 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+54.2%+$137.11
Will JA21 win 13 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$293
Will the JA21 win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56.77
Will VVD win 18 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the JA21 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$166.15
Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$135.62
Will the Democrats 66 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+69.8%+$57.26
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.32
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.5%+$32.76
Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$88.19
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$51.3
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$60
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.89
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.76
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Yampil' by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$26.62
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$45.93
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.74
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.41
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.11
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.92
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+93.3%+$130.37
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.6%+$57.14
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.9%+$31.87
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$55.94
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+177.9%+$2,095.76
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$41.81
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$119.75
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+51.8%+$209.74
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$10.06
All 16 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-68.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.1%+$17.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.