Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28abe56a6a3d7135a58c2e28e835ce2cda826fdce3cf2a71dd329a79cd482584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,165,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,209,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,165,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 37c | 489,644$182,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,401.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 18c | 42,274$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.45 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 30c | 26,224$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,790.59 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Yes | 0c | 25,527$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 56c | 23,981$13,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,551.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 12c | 21,650$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 18c | 19,887$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.92 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…66b6backed No | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed No | 78c | 14,603$11,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed No | 60c | 13,402$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 10,478$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.12 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677a…3b07backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 18c | 9,549$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.94 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 16c | 8,000$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 7c | 5,988$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 14c | 5,703$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 34c | 4,774$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 6c | 4,724$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 79c | 4,588$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed No | 59c | 4,500$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 70c | 4,500$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 60c | 4,464$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.79 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 4,300$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.08 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 72c | 4,264$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.77 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed No | 76c | 3,931$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 8c | 3,629$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 80c | 3,575$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.88 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 16c | 3,354$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 3,235$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.74 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 74c | 3,180$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…9beebacked Yes | 22c | 3,100$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…5082backed No | 72c | 2,904$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3772…c73ebacked No | 69c | 2,900$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…07eabacked No | 61c | 2,796$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 20c | 2,729$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2b6abacked No | 75c | 2,681$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 27c | 2,450$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.49 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 73c | 2,400$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 21c | 2,200$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 71c | 2,191$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 15c | 2,113$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 75c | 1,896$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.56 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…f0edbacked No | 64c | 1,881$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 1,696$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,665$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.99 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 73c | 1,650$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 65c | 1,638$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 8c | 1,629$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…2422backed Yes | 8c | 1,468$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 72c | 1,355$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 26c | 1,339$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 79c | 1,297$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed No | 75c | 1,264$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 70c | 1,254$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 63c | 1,240$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.08 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 78c | 1,229$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed No | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…fb52backed Yes | 23c | 1,061$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…0b58backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 73c | 887$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…9b5fbacked Yes | 23c | 853.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked Yes | 12c | 843.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 27c | 812$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 28c | 801.63$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 67c | 800$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes | 21c | 770$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 723.95$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 75c | 720$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 718.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Yes | 34c | 703.18$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 7c | 701.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked No | 72c | 699.85$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked Yes | 41c | 686.04$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 28c | 635$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.08 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 22c | 600$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Yes | 6c | 599.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 70c | 567.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db1…139cbacked Yes | 20c | 560$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed No | 78c | 511.74$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 78c | 505.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?this page
- Will Brenda Short win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
- Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
- Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?Yes won
- Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.