Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c0c20596c22e4699dcce0970e0bafed1ebe22026caf4626d7d9a49c3b3b6f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,010,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,938,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,010,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 11c | 156,955$17,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,615.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 6c | 61,459$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 5c | 34,221$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 11c | 23,448$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.7 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…f19abacked No | 8c | 16,837$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 74c | 15,188$11,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.2 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 6c | 13,187$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.88 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 68c | 13,085$8,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.68 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 6c | 11,150$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed No | 19c | 10,145$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.06 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 7c | 9,017$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.27 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 7c | 9,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed No | 10c | 8,189$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.18 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…366bbacked Yes | 75c | 7,999$5,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 58c | 7,774$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,282.06 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 7,736$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.19 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…30bfbacked No | 8c | 6,365$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 9c | 6,227$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.27 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 15c | 6,088$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.52 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 7c | 5,496$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 69c | 5,441$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed No | 43c | 5,286$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…66b6backed Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 71c | 4,900$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…b91fbacked Yes | 76c | 4,634$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 59c | 4,407$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.76 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 18c | 4,094$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.24 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 38cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 77c | 4,022$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.35 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 3,812$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 3,800$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.91 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed No | 6c | 3,458$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 14c | 3,418$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 77c | 3,100$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 11c | 2,980$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked No | 9c | 2,929$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Yes | 70c | 2,558$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 20c | 2,383$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.86 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed No | 6c | 2,338$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 70c | 2,313$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.84 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 62c | 2,300$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 60c | 2,263$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.33 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes | 72c | 2,093$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 61c | 2,030$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.91 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…2918backed Yes | 77c | 2,021$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 27c | 2,020$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…0fe6backed No | 8c | 1,931$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 72c | 1,673$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed No | 19c | 1,609$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…28e3backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 70c | 1,482$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 79c | 1,474$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 71c | 1,471$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 76c | 1,467$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…b8bfbacked Yes | 75c | 1,330$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…193abacked Yes | 78c | 1,296$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…93aabacked Yes | 72c | 1,245$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 18c | 1,219$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 1,210$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.82 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 16c | 1,197$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed No | 5c | 1,126$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,101$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.83 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…ace1backed No | 23c | 1,100$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 70c | 1,050$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 78c | 1,037$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed No | 6c | 999.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…5980backed Yes | 69c | 946.29$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed No | 7c | 910.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…4897backed No | 6c | 824.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 73c | 821.3$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 60c | 800$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 75c | 776.24$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 78c | 773.36$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 77c | 766.7$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…2826backed No | 6c | 750$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed Yes | 77c | 719.37$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 30c | 704.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…763abacked Yes | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 76c | 639$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc5…df10backed Yes | 76c | 636.62$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…0912backed Yes | 80c | 628.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab25…0806backed Yes | 80c | 624.5$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4f…c055backed Yes | 78c | 622.82$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 38c | 599.98$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 75c | 578$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.93 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…83cabacked No | 5c | 576$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 24c | 575.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…ec43backed Yes | 74c | 559.74$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed Yes | 78c | 545$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 70c | 537.59$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?this page
- Will Brenda Short win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
- Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
- Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
- Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.