AI · resolved market
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x289092682de83f6542949b2e13a576d672ce8830f4993be0558a918be2d0ed99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,604,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,741,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,604,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x674a…d582backed No | 1c | 509,409$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…f8a7backed No | 0c | 325,554$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…7432backed No | 0c | 314,766$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…87cbbacked No | 0c | 237,727$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…269bbacked No | 6c | 144,527$7,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,958.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…9c79backed No | 12c | 118,075$14,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,693.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…a740backed No | 0c | 115,193$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed No | 0c | 114,877$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16e…efb3backed No | 0c | 107,942$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3e…3eb3backed No | 0c | 99,070$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…91d0backed No | 0c | 97,440$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…31bcbacked No | 0c | 96,324$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd700…26c9backed No | 0c | 94,995$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…f7fbbacked No | 0c | 87,051$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…ea41backed No | 0c | 76,024$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…448abacked No | 0c | 71,012$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda18…5267backed No | 0c | 60,130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed No | 0c | 60,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…cae9backed No | 0c | 58,768$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…07cabacked No | 0c | 57,709$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…f373backed No | 0c | 54,612$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 44c | 52,867$23,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,379.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…27d2backed No | 1c | 50,617$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 50,100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…4e45backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…da94backed No | 0c | 49,589$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 77c | 49,133$37,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,444.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…bdd7backed No | 0c | 48,750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3769…2799backed No | 0c | 46,656$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 49c | 44,040$21,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,493.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…3cb0backed No | 0c | 42,433$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 52c | 42,299$21,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,438.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed No | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…8a5dbacked No | 0c | 39,155$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…f2f8backed No | 0c | 38,412$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 75c | 37,998$28,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,488.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7f…0218backed No | 0c | 37,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…4b2fbacked No | 0c | 35,883$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed No | 1c | 33,918$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…e37cbacked No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…4159backed No | 0c | 32,188$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…5f59backed No | 56c | 31,628$17,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,560.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd4…5beabacked No | 0c | 31,467$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…5fcfbacked No | 0c | 31,409$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +253.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…12efbacked No | 0c | 30,400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…ea93backed No | 0c | 29,752$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed No | 0c | 28,415$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda99…ac6bbacked No | 0c | 28,333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…1c24backed No | 0c | 26,179$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed No | 1c | 25,844$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…d9b5backed No | 0c | 25,642$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 7c | 25,275$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.12 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…28cabacked No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fc6cbacked No | 0c | 24,520$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…3357backed No | 0c | 23,140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 53c | 23,040$12,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,762.65 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…d502backed No | 1c | 22,605$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…de70backed No | 0c | 22,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…e0fcbacked No | 0c | 22,032$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…a019backed No | 1c | 21,407$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…a3c7backed No | 0c | 21,123$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cb…2752backed No | 0c | 21,045$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…c06fbacked No | 0c | 20,884$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 51c | 20,139$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,229.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…2ef5backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…4294backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…2dbcbacked No | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 0c | 19,700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 29c | 18,307$5,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…0ec0backed No | 0c | 17,611$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…c9d4backed No | 0c | 17,155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad19…b625backed No | 0c | 17,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 35c | 16,806$5,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked No | 4c | 16,794$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.45 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ec…0b11backed No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…a0b4backed No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…96aabacked No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…e84cbacked Yes | 37c | 16,666$6,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked No | 2c | 16,477$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe09…5c1ebacked No | 0c | 16,213$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 0c | 15,005$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…f973backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…9724backed No | 0c | 14,750$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…45c7backed No | 1c | 14,648$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0087backed No | 1c | 14,525$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…783dbacked No | 0c | 14,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 14,161$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,197.7 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a2…0f38backed No | 72c | 13,913$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed No | 1c | 13,468$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…16c6backed No | 0c | 13,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 2c | 13,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed No | 10c | 12,740$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…98f7backed No | 0c | 12,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 52c | 12,364$6,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,476.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed No | 4c | 12,170$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 1c | 12,109$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…6ccbbacked No | 0c | 11,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…ccf7backed No | 0c | 11,667$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 64c | 11,539$7,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,367.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Yes | 36c | 11,110$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.