AI · resolved market
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cd79521e16e9f6f1e82311edb96e0a2f4b2dbc92fd7264a7add59f54b054109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,300,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,415,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,300,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 46c | 125,088$57,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,900.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 53c | 88,159$46,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,163.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 50c | 45,096$22,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,630 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 51c | 32,206$16,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,496.17 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…b434backed No | 0c | 29,110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…af04backed No | 47c | 23,500$11,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,045 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 31c | 22,203$6,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,821.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…cae9backed No | 0c | 20,667$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 0c | 20,223$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 40c | 16,757$6,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,773.23 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 51c | 16,276$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed No | 40c | 15,229$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…3524backed No | 44c | 14,940$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…1c3ebacked Yes | 72c | 14,270$10,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…5d4bbacked Yes | 60c | 13,842$8,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…baf0backed Yes | 48c | 13,430$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 65c | 11,701$7,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 64c | 11,504$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.1 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 10,877$5,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 57c | 9,460$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 59c | 8,678$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5f…55ccbacked Yes | 64c | 8,400$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 80c | 8,273$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.77 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 49c | 8,108$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 52c | 7,979$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked No | 13c | 7,678$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked No | 35c | 7,358$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 34c | 7,173$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed No | 38c | 6,865$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 64c | 6,775$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.48 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 53c | 6,023$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f8ddbacked No | 36c | 5,664$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 44c | 5,640$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 36c | 5,539$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 46c | 5,477$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.79 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 42c | 5,300$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 72c | 5,190$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5e…6e50backed Yes | 52c | 5,113$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 47c | 5,096$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.13 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…566fbacked Yes | 41c | 4,918$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 43c | 4,876$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.21 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 46c | 4,679$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…501bbacked No | 1c | 4,643$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed No | 43c | 4,601$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 4,500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…5b80backed Yes | 60c | 4,500$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 29c | 4,497$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 47c | 4,422$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 58c | 4,284$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.62 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 54c | 4,250$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.3 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed Yes | 68c | 4,190$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked No | 1c | 3,990$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…4bc6backed No | 7c | 3,871$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed No | 20c | 3,835$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Yes | 63c | 3,661$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 46c | 3,628$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…d7e9backed No | 28c | 3,579$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 59c | 3,463$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.81 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 51c | 3,458$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f781backed Yes | 59c | 3,406$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 21c | 3,311$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…b2fabacked Yes | 78c | 3,301$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…038cbacked No | 46c | 3,118$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…0572backed Yes | 54c | 3,060$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…3b43backed Yes | 40c | 3,053$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 55c | 3,035$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.16 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe3…73c4backed No | 34c | 3,010$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed Yes | 68c | 2,948$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ee2dbacked Yes | 68c | 2,780$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…3a48backed No | 9c | 2,762$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 72c | 2,758$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.85 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…73ecbacked Yes | 59c | 2,647$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496e…f06fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,621$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Yes | 77c | 2,585$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 21c | 2,578$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.69 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…9788backed Yes | 67c | 2,455$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 51c | 2,421$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.42 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…7806backed Yes | 72c | 2,396$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…145bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,336$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 57c | 2,333$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.56 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…10e8backed Yes | 44c | 2,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 62c | 2,228$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.42 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…cd10backed Yes | 45c | 2,180$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 44c | 2,138$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 59c | 2,125$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.88 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…a92abacked No | 53c | 2,101$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…0f98backed No | 48c | 2,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 48c | 1,946$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed No | 56c | 1,904$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…9a1cbacked No | 4c | 1,898$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…8740backed No | 6c | 1,898$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed Yes | 53c | 1,868$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 30c | 1,865$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.91 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 26c | 1,835$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…95e9backed Yes | 63c | 1,822$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.