Earnings · resolved market
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3a9fe63f86dcfa7345880580f670398a14af9e796d70229ec993b867e749df6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 34c | 25,864$8,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,857.98 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 57c | 6,405$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.21 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 50c | 6,141$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.13 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 49c | 5,149$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.45 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 76c | 2,300$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.67 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 41c | 2,202$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked No | 47c | 2,121$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 39c | 2,040$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.48 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Yes | 65c | 1,946$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.59 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 57c | 1,502$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.14 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 11c | 1,170$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,115$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 64c | 1,051$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…af06backed Yes | 59c | 884.21$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.56 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 54c | 740.68$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…aa89backed Yes | 51c | 605.53$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…3340backed Yes | 55c | 549.25$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 76c | 504$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 56c | 482.81$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 45c | 451.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 67c | 440.22$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…b463backed Yes | 59c | 435.74$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 56c | 407.23$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.69 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 56c | 404.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.69 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 55c | 361.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 47c | 338.68$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 34c | 324.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 75c | 304.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 52c | 292.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…ed9abacked Yes | 65c | 265.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed No | 58c | 243.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 53c | 236.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…9042backed No | 42c | 236.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked Yes | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 55c | 213.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 50c | 207.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 42c | 206.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…fb1abacked No | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…215fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 44c | 176.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…8e39backed No | 59c | 168.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 63c | 166.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 50c | 160.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 58c | 154.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 55c | 128.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 37c | 124.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…4325backed Yes | 50c | 115.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28c…be33backed No | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 57c | 108.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 50c | 103.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 100.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…a49fbacked Yes | 69c | 100.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ce…85b4backed No | 52c | 98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…5a6cbacked Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 23c | 92.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…fd88backed Yes | 58c | 85.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…57d8backed Yes | 59c | 85.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…5543backed Yes | 50c | 78.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…3b68backed No | 53c | 75.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…e451backed Yes | 57c | 70.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 69.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2207…f06fbacked Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 58c | 60.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked No | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…2b66backed No | 44c | 53.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87be…bdb5backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 39c | 48.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…d476backed Yes | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 43c | 46.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1f53backed No | 41c | 45.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…9532backed Yes | 59c | 42.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed No | 38c | 42.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…3bc0backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…8991backed No | 41c | 40.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fe…2640backed No | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7af…facfbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2aaebacked No | 49c | 38.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 51c | 38.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 71c | 36.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…7c1bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 53c | 33.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 56c | 33.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.