TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2207…f06f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.23
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,020
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$215.28
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$76.12
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+104.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37.4%+$11.58
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$493.75
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,520
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+98.1%+$24.51
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+42.3%+$8.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$531.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$912
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,726.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.