TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$344,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f0b…36b0backed No32c103,000$32,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,0401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…683bbacked Yes68c103,000$70,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,04030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes68c12,620$8,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,580.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes69c7,265$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.8632639.3%128 W · 198 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Yes2c6,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201010%1 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick3cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes67c5,302$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.248330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Yes2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick8cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes68c3,981$2,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.2517751.4%91 W · 86 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes71c3,887$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.72857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes73c3,042$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.241442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes70c2,878$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.891947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No29c2,722$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.2650633.4%169 W · 337 L-30.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes68c2,500$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6903953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No33c2,336$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.061799.5%17 W · 162 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Yes70c2,109$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed No33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+110%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes67c1,750$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.341050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No58c1,622$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.224734%16 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…67c3backed Yes69c1,500$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-76.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed No33c1,354$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.363619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes69c1,260$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.7847328.3%134 W · 339 L-32.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf0d…132dbacked No34c1,222$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.46per pick38cpaid+135.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes69c1,158$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.081827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Yes68c1,071$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed No29c1,030$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7404427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Yes67c999.94$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No30c914.5$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.428836.4%32 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6d…5d26backed Yes67c857.66$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d4b…559cbacked No30c840$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5861361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No45c814$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.245440.7%22 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1fe…1779backed Yes66c812.67$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No30c810$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.934651.2%177 W · 169 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a65…acf4backed Yes55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44080%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes68c799.61$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6218431%57 W · 127 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Yes71c706.34$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes66c604.15$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Yes61c509.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No29c495$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.4523751.9%123 W · 114 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes67c447.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d1…3082backed Yes72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes70c394.86$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.041040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No31c383.46$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.926434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63a1…0b0cbacked Yes67c377.98$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c64…7259backed No33c373$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes68c358.14$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.872927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed No31c350.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.017416.2%12 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes68c349.98$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9912539.2%49 W · 76 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes66c338$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.356937.7%26 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes61c310$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.12832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No32c301.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6887033.3%290 W · 580 L-77.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes65c291.89$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.689442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…2a76backed No33c279$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed Yes64c263.49$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.673571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No30c249.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.059231.5%29 W · 63 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No31c247.68$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3510232.4%33 W · 69 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed No31c246$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.067126.8%19 W · 52 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked No31c235.48$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.48742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes41c222.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6867232%215 W · 457 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Yes66c218.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes68c200.08$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.051030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302630.8%8 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cf…3349backed Yes64c199.96$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e3…6450backed Yes67c197$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No30c195.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.542142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d8…521dbacked Yes68c184.8$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-68.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ef…e2d8backed Yes70c180.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc6…0d99backed Yes70c180$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a7d…828fbacked Yes67c177$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x793f…4ee5backed Yes67c176$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.672560%15 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034c…b587backed No31c174.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+221.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Yes67c172.69$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b2…db02backed No33c172.12$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a05…b91cbacked No35c170.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+77.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86a2…e740backed Yes67c170$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…f416backed No35c152.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…01d6backed No31c152.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0763…4f0dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick40cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes67c150.01$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.764148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed No30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed No31c150$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414425.7%37 W · 107 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Yes68c149.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.493847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes67c149.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed No29c146.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.933917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0db4…d1d3backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe266…add3backed Yes69c143.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8660%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x730e…859fbacked Yes70c143.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab54…bf5abacked No33c143.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6867…25b8backed Yes67c140$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959e…100abacked No35c137.45$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ca…60aebacked No36c137.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd46…4b28backed Yes69c133.58$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb44…7ecdbacked No35c131$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c9…3dcabacked Yes70c120$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-83.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cec…167abacked No34c118.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.03560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes73c110.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.192231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x624e…36cbbacked No34c109.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.