Movies · resolved market
Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3799824ba5aa48a3ef02ab32283f71d94844dc1dcb805c820a51791da5a21abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 31c | 10,457$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,217.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +110%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 28c | 4,040$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.67 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 24c | 3,504$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.57 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 28c | 2,947$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.76 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 32c | 2,885$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.13 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b2…2763backed Yes | 34c | 2,505$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 74c | 2,423$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 28c | 2,050$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 31c | 1,699$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.65 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,557$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.46per pick | 38cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.97 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 30c | 1,282$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 31c | 1,253$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 67c | 1,167$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…9e74backed Yes | 28c | 1,063$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 34c | 978.76$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 33c | 922.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.33 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 30c | 920.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 30c | 887.68$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…aab1backed Yes | 29c | 853.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 31c | 822$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.02 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Yes | 31c | 817.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 28c | 659$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.14 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 32c | 586.16$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.88 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 33c | 533$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.59 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed Yes | 49c | 525.95$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 33c | 512.22$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.37 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 27c | 438.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 30c | 385$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.84 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 25c | 384.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.09 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 29c | 359.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.79 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…e37ebacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 26c | 296.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 68c | 251.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 34c | 249$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 242.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 238.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 29c | 232$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Yes | 27c | 226.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…d88cbacked Yes | 33c | 184.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 68c | 174.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 32c | 160.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 26c | 152.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…ae55backed Yes | 34c | 145.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 38c | 127.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 23c | 124.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…8ebbbacked Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 70c | 110.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 28c | 99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…aabdbacked Yes | 32c | 76.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…1cedbacked Yes | 30c | 67.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…36eebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 60.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…95e6backed Yes | 30c | 54.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…76ecbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…801ebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…f639backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 30c | 48.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…1249backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…af46backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…3f20backed Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…65babacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f6…6bd7backed Yes | 32c | 37.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +208.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…a508backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f7…bb3cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…a0ddbacked No | 69c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 20.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…ba20backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…a1c6backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…3e9fbacked No | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Inside Out 2" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Memoir of a Snail" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.