TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x793f…4ee5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Space, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Space at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5673.2%41 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.2%+$61.46
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.39
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+89%+$19.8
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Trump launch an NFT before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more between December and June? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$38.21
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$5.11
Epstein Presidential Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$6.4
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Hillary Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$23.41
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$8.13
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$8.55
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$20.9
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.19
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$18.26
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$13.53
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+65.4%+$19.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.77
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$66.78
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+29%+$49.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 62-63°F on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$14
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$64.99
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+99.6%+$80.78
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+125.6%+$15.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51.1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.27
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$29.65
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+71.5%+$7.92
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+220.8%+$67.47
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+36.7%+$34.48
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$140.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.72
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+68.3%+$56.8
Canada tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.94
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.04
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$14.54
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+25.1%+$20.27
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$16.32
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$20.47
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+43.6%+$33.24
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$33.74
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.72
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$99.1
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.45
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$182.61
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+188.8%+$45.76
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.27
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$35.54
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$41.57
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2560%15 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+67.1%+$46
Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24.91
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross less than 3m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$36.9
Will 'Rule Breakers' gross between 3-6m on its opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$23.8
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$22.47
Will 'Wicked' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+31.9%+$8.71
Will "Anora" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+47%+$84.79
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$82.03
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$248.99
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+36.9%+$55.95
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Cinematography at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+28.5%+$39.9
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+42.3%+$35.66
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.48
Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will "A Lien" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+90.4%+$22.41
Will "Porcelain War" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+49.5%+$27.01
Will "No Other Land" win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+69.3%+$10.89
Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+86.2%+$25.71
Will "The Only Girl in the Orchestra" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Will "Conclave" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$102.56
Will "Anora" win Best Film Editing at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.36
Will "Anora" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+47.2%+$48.01
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$117.67
Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.56
Will "Wander to Wonder" win Best Animated Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+65.5%+$57.41
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.9%+$18.6
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.6%+$10.6
Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$31.5
U.S. announces resumption of direct flights to Russia before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.84
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.6
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$30.93
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.9%+$12.59
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$8.2
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$83.89
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$193.47
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+52.5%+$71.8
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$104.88
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.22
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$90.66
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.14
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.39
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$42.11
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$42.25
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.03
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.43
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.83
Will Fed end QT before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$39.68
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.5
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.42
DeepSeek V4 released before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$5.1
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.6
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$6.68
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Space — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.4
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$15.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cooper Flagg win the Wooden Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Johni Broome win the Wooden Award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$5.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+99%+$89.9
Will Real Betis Beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+66%+$41.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+60.9%+$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Champions Trophy Final: India vs. New Zealandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$16.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$24.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 2 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins sale announced before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.