Movies · resolved market
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9658df74990d67fee534efe838d91c0bc1f24bba1d5c291cfd27a1dc2942b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 37c | 4,707$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.84 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…9e74backed Yes | 46c | 4,696$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.06 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 44c | 2,682$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.61 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,355$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.72 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,870$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.05 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…aab1backed Yes | 40c | 1,490$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,333$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,040$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.39 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 56c | 909.99$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed No | 54c | 880.54$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.11 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 56c | 757.01$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.87 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 40c | 685.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.08 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 58c | 677.98$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.32 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 34c | 666.63$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 31c | 554.49$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 536$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 35c | 490$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.3 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 27c | 407.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 60c | 404.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…a417backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…52dfbacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 48c | 371.61$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…143bbacked No | 57c | 370$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…0414backed Yes | 43c | 370$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 35c | 358.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…57b5backed Yes | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…0f02backed Yes | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…33d3backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…d4e9backed No | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…3fe1backed No | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +257.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…7937backed Yes | 47c | 340$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 32c | 315.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…4e3abacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…0258backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 59c | 284.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 29c | 279$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe58d…8bfbbacked No | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +269.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…540abacked Yes | 43c | 270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9361…bea8backed No | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a4…7dcbbacked Yes | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…b91ebacked No | 56c | 260$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…aa5fbacked Yes | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b27…3870backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…09cabacked No | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…831ebacked No | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 60c | 223.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06e…f7c2backed Yes | 27c | 220.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ad…260bbacked No | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…c9e9backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…4a36backed Yes | 46c | 210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…aa81backed No | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe03c…5d4bbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…2512backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…9e7ebacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…e37ebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 191.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 70c | 186$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d8…521dbacked No | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…5f6cbacked Yes | 26c | 164.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…a331backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…4855backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed8…a7adbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…8090backed No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Yes | 43c | 146.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…2954backed Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…8887backed No | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0e…3390backed No | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…e7bcbacked Yes | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…8979backed Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…faf8backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…43bbbacked Yes | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…77f4backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…9374backed No | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…c41dbacked Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…ab6bbacked No | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733a…1f90backed No | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…74b5backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…8f9dbacked No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…211fbacked No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…e219backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc3…6b1fbacked Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b6…a3b8backed Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…c7cabacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfa…8ca2backed No | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadad…a60cbacked Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…6d5fbacked No | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…c94ebacked No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…577bbacked Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667a…ecb4backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…49b9backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 38c | 119$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Flow" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?Yes won
- Will "The Girl with the Needle" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Seed of the Sacred Fig" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.