Movies · resolved market
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb26705174733a4fb8faf5ecd8761e008279b0df6c7fbd0a0272f6ff626523e93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf215…9114backed Yes | 67c | 2,479$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 67c | 2,240$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.91 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 37c | 2,200$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.04 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…170fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 23c | 1,985$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.46 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 52c | 1,860$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.97 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…1905backed Yes | 78c | 1,851$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 64c | 1,790$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…0a81backed Yes | 62c | 1,572$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 2c | 1,449$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 30c | 874.13$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.44 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 22c | 865.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 46c | 851.86$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 59c | 823$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 22c | 777$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 36c | 750.88$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 74c | 735.59$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…a4b0backed No | 44c | 711.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 31c | 613.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 57c | 573$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.87 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 60c | 552.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.52 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 55c | 484.19$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 60c | 434$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…4383backed No | 52c | 420$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…eb33backed Yes | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…937cbacked Yes | 60c | 413.17$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ab…92d9backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…aab4backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Yes | 60c | 397.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4975backed Yes | 64c | 392.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c38…093abacked Yes | 70c | 377.19$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…0a9dbacked Yes | 55c | 375$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…da52backed Yes | 67c | 371.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…5e1abacked No | 47c | 370$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…be06backed Yes | 53c | 370$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 56c | 357.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…08b5backed Yes | 68c | 335.04$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…31e9backed Yes | 60c | 330.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…dbe1backed Yes | 61c | 328.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 44c | 312.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…b1dfbacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 74c | 300$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…a4eebacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…0c3abacked No | 52c | 270$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…8bdbbacked Yes | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 73c | 261.47$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 56c | 260$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…9219backed Yes | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…2df3backed Yes | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…e1a1backed No | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…3e80backed No | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c69…29fabacked No | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…e3bdbacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…d5a1backed Yes | 66c | 245.52$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…2633backed Yes | 69c | 242.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 64c | 238.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…51bcbacked No | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 73c | 219.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 51c | 214.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 24c | 213$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…74cabacked Yes | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…af32backed No | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…bf89backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…22efbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…f68abacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…a1d5backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cea…e9e2backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…02e2backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06e…f7c2backed No | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 51c | 192.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…f02cbacked Yes | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…1fd3backed No | 52c | 190$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 40c | 188.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…3950backed Yes | 56c | 183.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc0…d927backed Yes | 68c | 182.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 48c | 169.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc74e…dd9abacked Yes | 51c | 167.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…a185backed No | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…ae4dbacked Yes | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…1a98backed Yes | 60c | 151.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…5b23backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…f307backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 69c | 140.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 72c | 138.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…a0edbacked Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…5bc2backed No | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…22eebacked Yes | 58c | 129.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…f5c8backed Yes | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…c8b9backed Yes | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5cb9backed No | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…e404backed No | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…8174backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…5a14backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c31bbacked No | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "Flow" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Girl with the Needle" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will "The Seed of the Sacred Fig" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.