UFC · resolved market
Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy Diaz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5097be81d50b3bd9a7f1dd4dcb59c8d55a84b0729f4de21c3f8ae3d6f02a3f7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diazof Santos, Diaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b48…55a1backed Santos | 10c | 30,081$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Diaz | 37c | 2,916$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.69 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diaz | 39c | 2,818$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.01 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Santos | 60c | 2,317$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.88 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Santos | 62c | 1,310$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Santos | 64c | 771$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Santos | 62c | 716.13$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.44 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Santos | 67c | 606$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Santos | 64c | 553.51$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.71 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Diaz | 39c | 517.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Santos | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Diaz | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diaz | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Santos | 63c | 450$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Diaz | 37c | 441$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Santos | 66c | 360.74$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Diaz | 37c | 320$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Santos | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Santos | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Diaz | 38c | 280$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Diaz | 37c | 271$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…cb01backed Diaz | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Diaz | 41c | 244.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.19 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…3b35backed Santos | 64c | 196.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76d…da34backed Santos | 65c | 162$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…d09bbacked Diaz | 35c | 162$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Santos | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Santos | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Santos | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…0fdabacked Diaz | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…c0bebacked Santos | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…cc41backed Diaz | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8438…ee6dbacked Diaz | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…bcb0backed Diaz | 35c | 130$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad83…775ebacked Santos | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…fcb5backed Santos | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…971ebacked Santos | 65c | 130$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Santos | 64c | 124.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…b546backed Santos | 65c | 121$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc5…e66fbacked Diaz | 35c | 121$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Santos | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Diaz | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…f3b7backed Diaz | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…5d70backed Diaz | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…dc90backed Santos | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…0c2fbacked Santos | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c13…1452backed Diaz | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe5…8927backed Santos | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Santos | 65c | 94.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Santos | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Diaz | 55c | 79.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Diaz | 64c | 79.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…9e8fbacked Santos | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4437…503ebacked Santos | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Santos | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…b7abbacked Diaz | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…03cfbacked Santos | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Diaz | 34c | 59.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Santos | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fa…c25fbacked Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc84…aaf6backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8a…1f29backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…b778backed Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…992bbacked Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…7a9fbacked Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Santos | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104e…a89abacked Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…cd84backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d0…927cbacked Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…e48bbacked Santos | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…cfe4backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…1a62backed Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8df…0f7abacked Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…ea91backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c0…59e5backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…2c18backed Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…57bdbacked Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…ce30backed Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Diaz | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…8308backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…a9b2backed Diaz | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…ca0bbacked Santos | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…a69ebacked Diaz | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Santos | 63c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Santos | 67c | 41.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Santos | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -7.4wins | -0.49per pick | 56cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…d57fbacked Santos | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…6657backed Diaz | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…3eaabacked Santos | 74c | 39.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Diaz | 37c | 35.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Santos | 66c | 33.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Santos | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…ed1dbacked Santos | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665b…bc7abacked Santos | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Santos | 68c | 20.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Santos | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…bc50backed Santos | 68c | 19.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Santos | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Santos | 65c | 16.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy Diazthis page
- Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealLeal won
- Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanFerreira won
- Gaethje vs. FizievGaethje won
- Green vs. RuffyRuffy won
- Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaVan won
- Lemos vs. LucindoLemos won
- Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallSantos won
- Pereira vs. AnkalaevAnkalaev won
- Turner vs. BahamondesBahamondes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.