UFC · resolved market
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e88e304ac6f9019bbb5570d070810af217cc56aebe3943fb2383b7b0ca1c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferreiraof Ferreira, Petrosyan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ferreira | 45c | 31,146$13,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,246.45 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Petrosyan | 56c | 12,316$6,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,923.81 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…55a1backed Ferreira | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Petrosyan | 48c | 9,390$4,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,530.95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Petrosyan | 44c | 8,985$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Petrosyan | 55c | 8,801$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.08 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Ferreira | 42c | 6,190$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.05 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Petrosyan | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Petrosyan | 50c | 3,747$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.45 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Petrosyan | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Petrosyan | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Petrosyan | 20c | 2,300$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.14 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Ferreira | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Ferreira | 45c | 1,769$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.79 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Petrosyan | 57c | 1,750$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Petrosyan | 56c | 1,448$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.81 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Ferreira | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Petrosyan | 56c | 991.07$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Petrosyan | 54c | 990$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Ferreira | 46c | 920.53$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Ferreira | 46c | 909.31$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.03 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Petrosyan | 55c | 741$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.41 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Petrosyan | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ferreira | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Petrosyan | 56c | 585.27$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Petrosyan | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Ferreira | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Petrosyan | 55c | 499$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Ferreira | 40c | 495.42$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Ferreira | 46c | 474.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Ferreira | 41c | 450$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…a93cbacked Ferreira | 46c | 334.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Petrosyan | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Ferreira | 42c | 275$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Petrosyan | 56c | 268$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Ferreira | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Ferreira | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…cb01backed Ferreira | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Ferreira | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Petrosyan | 66c | 204.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Ferreira | 45c | 188$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Petrosyan | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bf…e8f8backed Petrosyan | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Ferreira | 45c | 157.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Ferreira | 42c | 155.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Ferreira | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Ferreira | 46c | 109.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Ferreira | 46c | 108.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Ferreira | 46c | 108.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Petrosyan | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Ferreira | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…1419backed Petrosyan | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Petrosyan | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Petrosyan | 54c | 93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Petrosyan | 55c | 84.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Ferreira | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Petrosyan | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Ferreira | 46c | 76.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Petrosyan | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…3359backed Petrosyan | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Petrosyan | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…cf6abacked Petrosyan | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…3c23backed Petrosyan | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…ebc5backed Ferreira | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…b5bfbacked Ferreira | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…e3f3backed Ferreira | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2086…b0b4backed Petrosyan | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Ferreira | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65f…73d8backed Petrosyan | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…5aeabacked Petrosyan | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Petrosyan | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…95ebbacked Ferreira | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9b47backed Petrosyan | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…bcb3backed Ferreira | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…3ed1backed Petrosyan | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Ferreira | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…dce7backed Ferreira | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…558ebacked Ferreira | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…0ee9backed Ferreira | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…b75bbacked Petrosyan | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Ferreira | 53c | 49.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…49b4backed Petrosyan | 56c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Petrosyan | 42c | 48.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa835…695dbacked Ferreira | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…15e7backed Petrosyan | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Ferreira | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…901ebacked Ferreira | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…bdeebacked Petrosyan | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…1606backed Ferreira | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f0…efccbacked Ferreira | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…7769backed Petrosyan | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…2cf4backed Ferreira | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Ferreira | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…1074backed Petrosyan | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6d…825dbacked Petrosyan | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…8595backed Ferreira | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…cc7ebacked Petrosyan | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…a5fabacked Ferreira | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…186abacked Petrosyan | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…58fbbacked Petrosyan | 56c | 35.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyanthis page
- Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealLeal won
- Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy DiazDiaz won
- Gaethje vs. FizievGaethje won
- Green vs. RuffyRuffy won
- Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaVan won
- Lemos vs. LucindoLemos won
- Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallSantos won
- Pereira vs. AnkalaevAnkalaev won
- Turner vs. BahamondesBahamondes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.