TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ferreiraof Ferreira, Petrosyan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Ferreira45c31,146$13,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,246.4535253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Petrosyan56c12,316$6,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,923.8116049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…55a1backed Ferreira54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,520757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Petrosyan48c9,390$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.953847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Petrosyan44c8,985$3,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,958.942751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Petrosyan55c8,801$4,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.0814857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Ferreira42c6,190$2,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.057452.7%39 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Petrosyan55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.983161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Petrosyan50c3,747$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.4542042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Petrosyan2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Petrosyan56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Petrosyan20c2,300$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.1414129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Ferreira49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02013650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Ferreira45c1,769$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.794161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Petrosyan57c1,750$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Petrosyan56c1,448$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.814946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Ferreira45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Petrosyan56c991.07$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5556462.5%40 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Petrosyan54c990$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.616247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Ferreira46c920.53$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.094151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed Ferreira46c909.31$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.032657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Petrosyan55c741$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4133253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Petrosyan56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Ferreira47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Petrosyan56c585.27$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Petrosyan56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Ferreira59c500$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Petrosyan55c499$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4518560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Ferreira40c495.42$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Ferreira46c474.72$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.358851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f6…d035backed Ferreira41c450$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec1…a93cbacked Ferreira46c334.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Petrosyan35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf35f…c62abacked Ferreira42c275$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Petrosyan56c268$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.083455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Ferreira43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5614130.5%43 W · 98 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b09…0175backed Ferreira45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5bd…cb01backed Ferreira45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dd…1e23backed Ferreira46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910529.5%31 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Petrosyan66c204.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5148749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Ferreira45c188$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.410452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Petrosyan54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014045.7%64 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2bf…e8f8backed Petrosyan56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Ferreira45c157.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.233040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Ferreira42c155.02$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9119531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Ferreira44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8418644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Ferreira46c109.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5926451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Ferreira46c108.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.932744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Ferreira46c108.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6416058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdba1…e6cdbacked Petrosyan56c107.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Ferreira42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf587…1419backed Petrosyan56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Petrosyan56c99.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.994042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Petrosyan54c93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.223053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Petrosyan55c84.01$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2156450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…24c3backed Ferreira46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Petrosyan58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.436745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Ferreira46c76.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.354763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Petrosyan56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f8…3359backed Petrosyan56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82a…dcc6backed Petrosyan56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…cf6abacked Petrosyan57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…3c23backed Petrosyan57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1a…ebc5backed Ferreira43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda00…b5bfbacked Ferreira43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc6…e3f3backed Ferreira43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2086…b0b4backed Petrosyan57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Ferreira56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb65f…73d8backed Petrosyan57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b40…5aeabacked Petrosyan57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1247…9ce9backed Petrosyan57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb9…95ebbacked Ferreira43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a83…9b47backed Petrosyan57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fd…bcb3backed Ferreira43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…3ed1backed Petrosyan57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Ferreira45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.552252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3366…dce7backed Ferreira43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e3…558ebacked Ferreira42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…0ee9backed Ferreira43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308a…b75bbacked Petrosyan58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Ferreira53c49.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.19950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…49b4backed Petrosyan56c49.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.394548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Petrosyan42c48.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa835…695dbacked Ferreira43c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e8…15e7backed Petrosyan57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Ferreira45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.44955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b91…901ebacked Ferreira43c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f6…bdeebacked Petrosyan57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…1606backed Ferreira42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2f0…efccbacked Ferreira43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2448…7769backed Petrosyan57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4555…2cf4backed Ferreira43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed Ferreira44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a4…1074backed Petrosyan57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e6d…825dbacked Petrosyan57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e8…8595backed Ferreira43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b11…cc7ebacked Petrosyan58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…a5fabacked Ferreira44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c56…186abacked Petrosyan55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b30…58fbbacked Petrosyan56c35.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.