UFC · resolved market

Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruya

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb0bb3667a3cf2192c486c6dcdadde0a448c669ab0d96d5edc0642e73aa7842f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Vanof Van, Tsuruya
Resolved: Mar 9, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $165,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $211,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,866 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Van	60c	61,644$37,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,531.76	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Tsuruya	44c	56,730$24,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,841.17	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b48…55a1backed Van	74c	18,330$13,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,830.45	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Tsuruya	38c	13,483$5,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,124.95	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed Tsuruya	27c	8,264$2,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,261.94	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Van	66c	8,262$5,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,806.83	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Van	57c	3,862$2,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,672.52	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Van	62c	3,341$2,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.64	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Van	72c	2,355$1,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.91	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Tsuruya	39c	2,100$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Van	63c	1,976$1,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$729.81	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…3399backed Van	59c	1,960$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Tsuruya	2c	1,766$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.66	101	2%2 W · 99 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Van	60c	1,627$983 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$644.41	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Van	80c	1,278$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.5	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Van	56c	1,102$617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.2	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Tsuruya	20c	1,008$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef38…ae8cbacked Tsuruya	40c	999.99$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Van	57c	973.68$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.68	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Van	59c	817.13$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.02	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Van	60c	750$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	355	64.5%229 W · 126 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Van	57c	726.32$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f5…7049backed Van	57c	696.49$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.49	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Tsuruya	38c	665.98$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.07	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba0…b494backed Tsuruya	15c	600$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Van	60c	599.94$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.94	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35f…c62abacked Van	64c	540$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.4	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Van	57c	526.11$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.23	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tsuruya	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tsuruya	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	243	56.8%138 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Van	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Van	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f6…d035backed Tsuruya	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	33cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tsuruya	25c	495.45$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.86	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Van	77c	423.81$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Tsuruya	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Tsuruya	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Van	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Tsuruya	44c	350$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Van	60c	350$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Van	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed Tsuruya	5c	298.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe82a…dcc6backed Tsuruya	39c	290$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Van	55c	280.89$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.4	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Van	57c	250$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.5	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Van	56c	245.46$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Van	60c	241.37$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.68	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Tsuruya	42c	236.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Tsuruya	44c	228$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.32	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Van	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Van	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb010…b243backed Van	64c	198.03$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.34	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Tsuruya	30c	181.57$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	91	24.2%22 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Van	57c	170.18$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.18	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe7…9563backed Tsuruya	39c	169.48$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Van	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Van	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ba…d429backed Van	61c	163.93$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.93	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Tsuruya	19c	150$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Van	57c	140$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.2	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tsuruya	44c	135.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.71	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8742…3a73backed Van	61c	120$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb08…122abacked Tsuruya	39c	120$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b8…29d0backed Van	60c	113$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a51…671ebacked Tsuruya	40c	113$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Tsuruya	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73d1…3d35backed Tsuruya	40c	110$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ba…8636backed Van	60c	110$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc954…bdf5backed Van	54c	108.7$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Tsuruya	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Tsuruya	33c	105.13$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Van	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Tsuruya	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b31…b02dbacked Tsuruya	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	56cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f60…b456backed Tsuruya	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…0848backed Van	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db1…d4fdbacked Van	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f2c…6134backed Tsuruya	39c	90$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68c5…4a02backed Tsuruya	39c	90$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed9…4ab9backed Van	61c	90$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d3ecbacked Van	61c	90$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Van	57c	89.98$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.69	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Van	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0a7bbacked Van	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…a5fabacked Tsuruya	40c	80$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a1…4a26backed Tsuruya	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5489…82bdbacked Van	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e6…3e91backed Tsuruya	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc172…4221backed Van	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5214…1717backed Van	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf619…e3ddbacked Tsuruya	40c	80$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d50…1597backed Tsuruya	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b91…5efdbacked Van	61c	80$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ed…876bbacked Tsuruya	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Van	56c	75.45$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Van	61c	75$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Van	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.8wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9b2…bf44backed Tsuruya	40c	70$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6a…2f5bbacked Van	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0074…68d3backed Van	60c	70$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	59cpaid	+74.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruyathis page
Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealLeal won
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanFerreira won
Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy DiazDiaz won
Gaethje vs. FizievGaethje won
Green vs. RuffyRuffy won
Lemos vs. LucindoLemos won
Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallSantos won
Pereira vs. AnkalaevAnkalaev won
Turner vs. BahamondesBahamondes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruya

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event