UFC · resolved market
Pereira vs. Ankalaev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718ead73097de2c77b93aaf24b87ebc07e7f5086ebaeb97a13da6b249a422d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ankalaevof Pereira, Ankalaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,761,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 902 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pereira | 52c | 371,127$194,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194,222.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Ankalaev | 48c | 296,999$142,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,159.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ankalaev | 44c | 246,225$107,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,014.47 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Pereira | 52c | 107,924$56,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,485.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…e11abacked Pereira | 53c | 105,779$56,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,131 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…27a9backed Ankalaev | 48c | 78,830$38,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,818.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Ankalaev | 48c | 76,361$36,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,557.16 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Ankalaev | 51c | 66,010$33,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,174.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…55a1backed Ankalaev | 56c | 61,495$34,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,827.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Ankalaev | 49c | 51,000$24,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,010 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Pereira | 51c | 50,979$26,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,238.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Ankalaev | 48c | 49,647$23,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,816.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ankalaev | 47c | 47,211$22,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,885.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Pereira | 52c | 41,770$21,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,720.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Ankalaev | 49c | 40,760$19,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,787.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Pereira | 52c | 38,043$19,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,768.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Pereira | 51c | 33,040$16,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,798.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pereira | 54c | 31,110$16,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,759.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Pereira | 51c | 29,666$15,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,088.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Ankalaev | 50c | 29,085$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,542.59 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Ankalaev | 47c | 27,524$12,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,613.84 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Ankalaev | 49c | 25,879$12,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,257.16 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Ankalaev | 47c | 24,000$11,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,679.9 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pereira | 52c | 23,166$12,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,021.72 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…e855backed Ankalaev | 48c | 22,704$10,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,810.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Pereira | 51c | 17,166$8,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,754.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Ankalaev | 47c | 15,000$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,987.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 13,902$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,058.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Ankalaev | 51c | 12,478$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,103.13 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Ankalaev | 46c | 12,476$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.68 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Ankalaev | 50c | 11,444$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,742.49 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Pereira | 52c | 11,355$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…ba51backed Pereira | 52c | 10,905$5,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…e859backed Ankalaev | 50c | 10,876$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Pereira | 51c | 10,820$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,518.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd780…b355backed Pereira | 51c | 10,583$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Pereira | 50c | 10,174$5,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,087.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Pereira | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Ankalaev | 48c | 9,866$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.22 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Pereira | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Pereira | 53c | 9,715$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Pereira | 51c | 9,710$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 9,569$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Pereira | 53c | 9,426$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Pereira | 54c | 9,376$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.7 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…3148backed Pereira | 53c | 9,154$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Pereira | 51c | 9,115$4,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Ankalaev | 48c | 9,100$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pereira | 51c | 8,839$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Ankalaev | 51c | 8,412$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.09 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Pereira | 51c | 8,406$4,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,305.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ankalaev | 53c | 8,307$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.08 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Pereira | 44c | 8,276$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.17 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Pereira | 53c | 8,110$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.4 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pereira | 51c | 8,048$4,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.98 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 7,518$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Pereira | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Pereira | 53c | 7,234$3,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Pereira | 51c | 7,150$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb010…b243backed Ankalaev | 50c | 6,975$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,514.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ankalaev | 47c | 6,738$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.76 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Pereira | 59c | 6,612$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…ca7ebacked Pereira | 52c | 6,440$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Pereira | 51c | 6,355$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.19 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Pereira | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Pereira | 51c | 6,200$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.77 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pereira | 52c | 6,192$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8d50backed Pereira | 51c | 6,191$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…ef89backed Pereira | 51c | 6,163$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Pereira | 51c | 5,540$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…64f1backed Ankalaev | 49c | 5,473$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Pereira | 41c | 5,250$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.18 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Ankalaev | 47c | 5,064$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.56 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…8705backed Pereira | 50c | 5,035$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Pereira | 52c | 5,000$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…24ebbacked Pereira | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ankalaev | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.95 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…ffe6backed Pereira | 52c | 4,612$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Ankalaev | 58c | 4,512$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Ankalaev | 51c | 4,399$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.46 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 4,369$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Ankalaev | 50c | 4,164$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Ankalaev | 49c | 4,158$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e9…a868backed Ankalaev | 48c | 4,105$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Pereira | 54c | 4,046$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Pereira | 19c | 4,028$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.41 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed Pereira | 51c | 3,887$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Ankalaev | 50c | 3,859$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pereira | 51c | 3,710$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Pereira | 52c | 3,685$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Ankalaev | 47c | 3,582$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.05 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Pereira | 52c | 3,455$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.85 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Pereira | 52c | 3,406$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pereira | 53c | 3,398$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.74 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…421dbacked Pereira | 52c | 3,288$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 3,179$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.01 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Ankalaev | 49c | 3,036$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Pereira | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Ankalaev | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pereira vs. Ankalaevthis page
- Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealLeal won
- Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanFerreira won
- Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy DiazDiaz won
- Gaethje vs. FizievGaethje won
- Green vs. RuffyRuffy won
- Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaVan won
- Lemos vs. LucindoLemos won
- Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallSantos won
- Turner vs. BahamondesBahamondes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.