UFC · resolved market
Turner vs. Bahamondes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6b5ba9d7e46b9df6d2f34c5cd2698d70200bbdc05338d5fa036ed8929e2799
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bahamondesof Turner, Bahamondes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe215…93a7backed Turner | 46c | 74,623$34,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,326.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…c10bbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 74,623$40,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,326.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…e11abacked Turner | 45c | 40,821$18,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,248 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Bahamondes | 57c | 16,000$9,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.95 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…f1f7backed Bahamondes | 55c | 12,911$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bahamondes | 55c | 10,934$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.77 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed Turner | 46c | 5,094$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Bahamondes | 58c | 5,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Turner | 42c | 4,836$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Bahamondes | 58c | 3,485$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Turner | 8c | 3,299$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Turner | 48c | 2,731$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…e859backed Turner | 43c | 2,695$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Bahamondes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Bahamondes | 55c | 2,170$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…0175backed Turner | 46c | 2,165$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Turner | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Bahamondes | 57c | 1,970$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bahamondes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Turner | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Turner | 49c | 1,500$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Turner | 42c | 1,484$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.28 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Turner | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bahamondes | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Turner | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…b1ffbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 1,234$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…4500backed Turner | 46c | 1,234$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Turner | 44c | 1,180$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.27 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bahamondes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Bahamondes | 57c | 1,054$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.29 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Turner | 43c | 1,033$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Turner | 41c | 1,000$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Turner | 43c | 1,000$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.23 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Bahamondes | 53c | 996.2$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Bahamondes | 58c | 989.64$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…7b64backed Turner | 49c | 900$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Turner | 43c | 856.42$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Bahamondes | 41c | 811.36$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…f49ebacked Bahamondes | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Turner | 44c | 752.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Turner | 48c | 721.76$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Turner | 45c | 715.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Bahamondes | 56c | 710.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Turner | 43c | 695.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 691.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.86 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Turner | 46c | 680.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.18 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bahamondes | 59c | 639.82$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bahamondes | 53c | 613.04$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.54 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bahamondes | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Bahamondes | 59c | 547.62$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…d67dbacked Turner | 42c | 533.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Bahamondes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Turner | 41c | 503.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.57 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Bahamondes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Turner | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Turner | 46c | 477.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…ccb0backed Bahamondes | 54c | 477.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…c7debacked Bahamondes | 57c | 448.37$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Bahamondes | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Turner | 44c | 367.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.53 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bahamondes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Turner | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bahamondes | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Turner | 45c | 267$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 266.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Bahamondes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Bahamondes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…e1e4backed Turner | 47c | 244.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Turner | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Bahamondes | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Turner | 45c | 209.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Bahamondes | 59c | 208.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Bahamondes | 52c | 206.54$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.14 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Turner | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Bahamondes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Bahamondes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…b9eabacked Turner | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…4081backed Bahamondes | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bahamondes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Bahamondes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Bahamondes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…bee8backed Bahamondes | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…b32fbacked Turner | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Bahamondes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Bahamondes | 53c | 164.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…b4f5backed Turner | 43c | 163.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…d83cbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 161$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…3a90backed Turner | 46c | 161$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…dcc6backed Turner | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Turner | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Turner | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…0214backed Bahamondes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Turner | 43c | 146.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Bahamondes | 56c | 141.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Turner | 43c | 141.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…5746backed Turner | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…b95ebacked Bahamondes | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…584bbacked Bahamondes | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…3a2cbacked Turner | 46c | 139$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Bahamondes | 52c | 138.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Turner vs. Bahamondesthis page
- Alex Morono vs. Carlos LealLeal won
- Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen PetrosyanFerreira won
- Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy DiazDiaz won
- Gaethje vs. FizievGaethje won
- Green vs. RuffyRuffy won
- Joshua Van vs. Rei TsuruyaVan won
- Lemos vs. LucindoLemos won
- Mairon Santos vs. Francis MarshallSantos won
- Pereira vs. AnkalaevAnkalaev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.