TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c72…5c26

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.55
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.43
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.36
UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.44
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.72
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+55.1%+$9.95
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+57.9%+$6.6
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.01
Malott vs. Hollandbacked Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Fiorot vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralhobacked Imavov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$17.16
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.72
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.91
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42.66
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$59.99
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.96
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.04
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.36
UFC Fight Night: Will Hernandez win by decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.82
UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguezbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConicobacked Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.98
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
UFC Fight Night: Rębecki vs. Duncan backed Rębecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.99
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Gore backed Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$27.77
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46%+$9.45
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.63
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.32
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.74
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.52
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.7%+$19.73
Will the Bills face the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$32.33
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,048.8
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$294
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.44
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.25
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.28
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+40.8%+$4.74
Bengals vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+300%+$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$8.93
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Kingsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.71
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$12.92
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.8
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.78
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.06
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.17
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$7.14
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$17.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USC beat Michigan?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+71.7%+$9.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dodgers beat the Padres?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UConn vs. Floridabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beterbiev vs. Bivol: Who will win?backed Bivol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$45.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$160.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.