NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x922de2b14db0ad16efeb4dd31ac58b2a698bce803b778578d0d07fb8a0525864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Cavaliers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Rockets | 47c | 41,455$19,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,802.24 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers | 25c | 25,183$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.86 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Cavaliers | 47c | 23,303$10,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,843.42 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 43c | 22,830$9,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,943.48 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 42c | 19,896$8,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,484.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Cavaliers | 56c | 17,500$9,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,834.99 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Cavaliers | 39c | 16,673$6,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,461.37 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 60c | 13,833$8,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,486.07 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Cavaliers | 42c | 11,939$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.45 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cavaliers | 43c | 11,697$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,046.06 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 50c | 11,552$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,783.74 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…0832backed Rockets | 42c | 9,450$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,481 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Rockets | 67c | 8,315$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.42 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Cavaliers | 59c | 8,002$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.53 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rockets | 68c | 6,400$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 56c | 6,086$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…70a7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 5,900$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 5,725$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.51 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Cavaliers | 55c | 5,554$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.71 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Rockets | 45c | 5,509$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.01 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 51c | 4,914$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.84 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Cavaliers | 64c | 4,280$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.09 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 4,218$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.3 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Cavaliers | 57c | 4,046$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Cavaliers | 42c | 3,936$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Cavaliers | 57c | 3,848$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.59 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Rockets | 65c | 3,695$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.1 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Cavaliers | 56c | 3,600$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.78 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…1580backed Cavaliers | 58c | 3,550$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 55c | 2,968$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.54 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Rockets | 75c | 2,732$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.33 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 2,690$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.58 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets | 70c | 2,646$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Cavaliers | 33c | 2,552$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 43c | 2,549$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.75 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 10c | 2,500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.99 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.95 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 60c | 2,491$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.11 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 46c | 2,483$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.33 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 49c | 2,392$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.73 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Rockets | 59c | 2,383$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.12 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 2,353$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Cavaliers | 73c | 2,349$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.22 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 44c | 2,316$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.67 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 44c | 2,252$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.37 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,815$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.57 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,774$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets | 44c | 1,769$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.64 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cavaliers | 61c | 1,733$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.93 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Cavaliers | 44c | 1,678$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.64 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers | 35c | 1,555$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.39 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,521$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.39 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Rockets | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 1,490$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,449$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cavaliers | 2c | 1,250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,190$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.71 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f6…a090backed Cavaliers | 34c | 1,188$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Rockets | 46c | 1,108$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.53 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rockets | 43c | 1,099$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.66 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…9d97backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,090$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6892…d3afbacked Rockets | 44c | 1,090$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Cavaliers | 72c | 1,067$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.09 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f82…86eebacked Rockets | 42c | 1,040$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…07dbbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 1,040$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Rockets | 43c | 1,009$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.86 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.17 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cavaliers | 10c | 1,000$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets | 34c | 993.78$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.89 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Cavaliers | 31c | 972$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Rockets | 47c | 944.68$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.68 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Cavaliers | 67c | 938.31$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.67 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Cavaliers | 52c | 930.68$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.01 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Rockets | 41c | 864.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.34 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 47c | 818.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.41 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Cavaliers | 47c | 773.84$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Rockets | 44c | 706.82$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 705.82$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.84 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 44c | 673.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.73 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Cavaliers | 27c | 620.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Rockets | 47c | 614$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.42 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Cavaliers | 48c | 605$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Cavaliers | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Cavaliers | 39c | 600$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Rockets | 68c | 582.92$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 576.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cavaliers | 37c | 547.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Rockets | 43c | 545.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…d978backed Cavaliers | 55c | 545.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…cf2bbacked Rockets | 59c | 540.55$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…d34fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 534.02$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Rockets | 44c | 511.85$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.52 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 12c | 511$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.