UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguez

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc11320fb4b9e9dfb0a8a2590d386dfd4560e74d6808e43da521ba9b254be1f89

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Filiof Fili, Rodriguez
Resolved: Aug 9, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $296,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $309,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,609 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Rodriguez	71c	127,379$90,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,413.54	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…b3dfbacked Fili	29c	97,869$28,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,487.32	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Fili	31c	76,596$23,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,040.26	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Rodriguez	69c	69,041$47,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,978.61	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Fili	73c	12,297$8,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,374.35	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Fili	29c	12,000$3,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,520	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rodriguez	67c	11,328$7,619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,618.53	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Fili	29c	11,150$3,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,916.5	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Rodriguez	68c	7,766$5,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,280.64	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Fili	30c	6,870$2,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,801.56	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked Fili	31c	6,156$1,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,247.84	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Rodriguez	67c	6,005$4,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,023.35	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Fili	30c	4,362$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,035.32	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Fili	43c	4,277$1,839 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,438.14	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Fili	33c	3,075$1,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,070.26	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed Rodriguez	68c	2,941$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Rodriguez	69c	2,919$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Fili	32c	2,813$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,912.5	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Rodriguez	75c	2,781$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.44	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Fili	30c	2,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Fili	43c	1,497$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.69	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rodriguez	66c	1,378$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.87	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Fili	34c	1,050$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Rodriguez	68c	1,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Fili	32c	950$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Rodriguez	15c	932$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.8	50	12%6 W · 44 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+272.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Rodriguez	57c	919.04$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.38	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Rodriguez	68c	823$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.96	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Fili	32c	721.45$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.6	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Fili	54c	700$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	86	55.8%48 W · 38 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rodriguez	65c	610.74$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.38	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Rodriguez	70c	572.5$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rodriguez	70c	546$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.2	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Rodriguez	70c	514.29$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	74cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rodriguez	69c	500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Fili	42c	477.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.08	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Fili	31c	446.68$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.29	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Fili	31c	400$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Rodriguez	66c	400$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8a…541fbacked Rodriguez	68c	367.65$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Fili	29c	356$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.76	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rodriguez	66c	350.99$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.65	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f4…49e7backed Rodriguez	67c	344.97$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.13	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Rodriguez	9c	332.27$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Rodriguez	71c	300$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fili	35c	288.94$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.94	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfee…64bbbacked Fili	77c	256.54$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.49	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Fili	32c	250$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	106	51.9%55 W · 51 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Fili	33c	200$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Fili	30c	200$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Fili	32c	200$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Rodriguez	69c	200$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Fili	31c	191.88$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.56	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Rodriguez	69c	174.57$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.46	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Fili	36c	173.53$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.15	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Fili	30c	167.77$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fili	32c	156.25$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Rodriguez	68c	154.41$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Fili	31c	153$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.04	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Rodriguez	68c	147.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Rodriguez	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Rodriguez	71c	140$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rodriguez	25c	139$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Fili	31c	130.49$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.55	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodriguez	70c	130.23$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.97	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Fili	34c	117.65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.65	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Rodriguez	66c	114.92$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.09	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Rodriguez	68c	114.55$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.89	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Rodriguez	63c	111.08$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Rodriguez	67c	107.13$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.74	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Fili	31c	104.9$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.38	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rodriguez	69c	100$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Rodriguez	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Fili	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fili	29c	97.52$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.3	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Fili	37c	96.64$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.64	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x293d…3ef4backed Rodriguez	70c	95.51$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.13	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e0…3a5fbacked Fili	64c	95.2$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Fili	34c	87.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.77	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…b03cbacked Fili	30c	82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.70per pick	30cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Rodriguez	64c	78.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-9.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Rodriguez	52c	74.31$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Rodriguez	68c	73.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Rodriguez	65c	65.94$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00bd…95f9backed Fili	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-10.7wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Rodriguez	68c	58.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Rodriguez	63c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.7	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Fili	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Fili	32c	50$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff5…89dbbacked Fili	32c	46.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.88	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e1…e988backed Fili	32c	46.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.88	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Rodriguez	60c	45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Fili	30c	44.76$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.70per pick	30cpaid	+231.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Rodriguez	68c	44.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1202…bca3backed Rodriguez	70c	42.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Rodriguez	69c	42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd0…b881backed Fili	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x413f…67c3backed Rodriguez	71c	28.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2935…78f9backed Rodriguez	69c	21.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Rodriguez	57c	18.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguezthis page
UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. DuncanDuncan won
UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConicoMcConico won
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. HernandezHernandez won
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. CachoeiraEdwards won
UFC Fight Night: Erceg vs. OsbourneErceg won
UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. StoliarenkoFernandes won
UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. MatsumotoMatsumoto won
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. HillLucindo won
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. UrbinaMedic won
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. KazamaSmith won
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. CerqueiraWalker won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguez

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event