UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d79fe5fd28f62621e94d2a34f832ea7b714ee922d5f8ae5fd2d26a2460dbf58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hernandezof Dolidze, Hernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hernandez | 76c | 225,480$171,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,987.38 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolidze | 23c | 112,162$25,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,797.23 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Hernandez | 69c | 85,810$59,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,601.17 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…86ccbacked Dolidze | 31c | 75,386$23,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,369.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Hernandez | 77c | 65,082$50,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,075.58 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hernandez | 77c | 57,781$44,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,289.53 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27aa…de6fbacked Dolidze | 30c | 55,097$16,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,319.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…db73backed Dolidze | 31c | 47,053$14,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,586.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Dolidze | 23c | 39,990$9,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,197.7 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dolidze | 24c | 37,805$9,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,131.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Hernandez | 70c | 37,751$26,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,407.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Dolidze | 23c | 21,250$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Dolidze | 23c | 20,733$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…9c70backed Dolidze | 27c | 16,111$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolidze | 23c | 15,389$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.53 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dolidze | 24c | 14,928$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.18 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Dolidze | 24c | 14,795$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491.16 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…8c83backed Dolidze | 24c | 13,506$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Dolidze | 23c | 12,924$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.23 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Dolidze | 21c | 12,517$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.12 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Dolidze | 19c | 12,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Hernandez | 68c | 10,909$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Hernandez | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Dolidze | 2c | 10,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Dolidze | 26c | 7,558$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.89 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…79ecbacked Hernandez | 74c | 6,384$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Hernandez | 69c | 5,981$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Dolidze | 24c | 5,032$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.05 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Dolidze | 26c | 4,682$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.49 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Dolidze | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dolidze | 26c | 4,100$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe385…54bcbacked Hernandez | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Dolidze | 28c | 3,992$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.92 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Hernandez | 69c | 3,706$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Hernandez | 69c | 3,624$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.44 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Dolidze | 28c | 3,520$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Hernandez | 74c | 3,265$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Hernandez | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hernandez | 75c | 2,909$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.19 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Hernandez | 74c | 2,704$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Hernandez | 75c | 2,666$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dolidze | 24c | 2,637$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.37 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…9c05backed Dolidze | 2c | 2,600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Hernandez | 73c | 2,594$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.33 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Hernandez | 74c | 2,432$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.43 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Hernandez | 72c | 2,020$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.2 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hernandez | 73c | 1,932$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.61 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Dolidze | 27c | 1,496$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Dolidze | 26c | 1,280$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Dolidze | 27c | 1,250$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Hernandez | 67c | 1,241$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.31 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dolidze | 16c | 1,167$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Hernandez | 73c | 1,146$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dolidze | 23c | 1,094$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.51 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Dolidze | 26c | 1,092$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…80e3backed Dolidze | 8c | 1,042$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Hernandez | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Dolidze | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Hernandez | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Hernandez | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Dolidze | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Dolidze | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Hernandez | 73c | 999.94$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dolidze | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dolidze | 27c | 805$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dolidze | 24c | 740$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Hernandez | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Hernandez | 77c | 618.18$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Hernandez | 76c | 607.28$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e75…f58dbacked Dolidze | 24c | 592.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Hernandez | 68c | 588.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.36 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Dolidze | 25c | 556.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Dolidze | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Hernandez | 69c | 554.99$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dolidze | 25c | 538$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Hernandez | 75c | 502.12$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Hernandez | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Hernandez | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Hernandez | 75c | 464.92$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.23 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2664backed Dolidze | 24c | 464.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Dolidze | 33c | 439.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…20e8backed Hernandez | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…2aa0backed Hernandez | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Hernandez | 67c | 398.51$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Hernandez | 69c | 397.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…dd23backed Dolidze | 28c | 395.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…1cbabacked Dolidze | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Dolidze | 24c | 376.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dolidze | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Hernandez | 72c | 368.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…541fbacked Hernandez | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Dolidze | 18c | 361.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Hernandez | 73c | 351.37$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Hernandez | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Hernandez | 67c | 314.49$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Dolidze | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Hernandez | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hernandez | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Dolidze | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Hernandez | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Anders vs. DuncanDuncan won
- UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConicoMcConico won
- UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. CachoeiraEdwards won
- UFC Fight Night: Erceg vs. OsbourneErceg won
- UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. StoliarenkoFernandes won
- UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. RodriguezFili won
- UFC Fight Night: Johns vs. MatsumotoMatsumoto won
- UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. HillLucindo won
- UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. UrbinaMedic won
- UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. KazamaSmith won
- UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. CerqueiraWalker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.