NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0acb9c9e2267f849236855b919dbf4be7ab44bfa8ac30a813580404cdee8c459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Bengals, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Commanders | 24c | 55,429$13,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,875.25 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Bengals | 43c | 47,643$20,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,426.46 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bengals | 76c | 33,517$25,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,404.03 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Commanders | 59c | 14,520$8,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.88 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Bengals | 3c | 12,198$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.43 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…07cbbacked Bengals | 0c | 12,066$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Commanders | 57c | 11,054$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.37 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Bengals | 73c | 9,233$6,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784.47 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bengals | 75c | 9,047$6,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.61 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Commanders | 31c | 7,548$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,192.84 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Bengals | 75c | 7,350$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.77 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bengals | 76c | 7,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bengals | 76c | 6,913$5,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.83 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Commanders | 24c | 6,661$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.34 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Commanders | 51c | 6,283$3,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.76 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Commanders | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.77 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Commanders | 58c | 4,828$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.58 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +9.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +235.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Commanders | 74c | 4,816$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…e8c1backed Commanders | 25c | 4,037$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Commanders | 58c | 3,991$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.99 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bengals | 55c | 3,830$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.98 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Commanders | 42c | 3,537$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.88 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Commanders | 57c | 3,400$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Commanders | 57c | 3,364$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.51 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Commanders | 54c | 3,087$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bengals | 65c | 2,983$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.45 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Commanders | 36c | 2,823$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Bengals | 11c | 2,656$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Commanders | 60c | 2,434$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bengals | 76c | 2,433$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.74 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Bengals | 54c | 1,931$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.99 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Commanders | 24c | 1,910$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.39 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed Bengals | 59c | 1,655$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Commanders | 61c | 1,628$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.59 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Bengals | 8c | 1,627$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…a9e7backed Bengals | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebc…dd8abacked Commanders | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Bengals | 76c | 1,477$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Commanders | 57c | 1,463$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.22 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Commanders | 44c | 1,391$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.86 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bengals | 75c | 1,318$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.28 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…492ebacked Bengals | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Commanders | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…f8e6backed Bengals | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Commanders | 37c | 1,250$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.5 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Commanders | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Commanders | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Bengals | 77c | 1,159$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.12 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Bengals | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Commanders | 71c | 1,062$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Commanders | 60c | 1,037$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Commanders | 59c | 1,034$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.69 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…b557backed Commanders | 63c | 1,012$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bengals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Commanders | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals | 7c | 963.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Bengals | 33c | 957.58$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bengals | 67c | 858.2$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.97 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Bengals | 75c | 833$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Commanders | 66c | 813.18$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bengals | 44c | 790.53$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.98 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Commanders | 71c | 751.35$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Bengals | 77c | 688.9$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.01 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Commanders | 77c | 647.81$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Bengals | 38c | 612.8$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 65c | 610$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Commanders | 57c | 599.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Commanders | 71c | 550$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…664dbacked Commanders | 25c | 525$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Bengals | 44c | 508.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Commanders | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Commanders | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Commanders | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Bengals | 63c | 475.61$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…c417backed Commanders | 39c | 418.53$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed Commanders | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…8979backed Commanders | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…b4b2backed Bengals | 76c | 398.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Commanders | 24c | 361$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Bengals | 31c | 354.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…45e0backed Commanders | 80c | 338.33$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Bengals | 75c | 333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Bengals | 76c | 330.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.53 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bengals | 76c | 330$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bengals | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Bengals | 76c | 289.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Commanders | 25c | 276$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed47…faf5backed Bengals | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…e69cbacked Bengals | 76c | 258.28$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Bengals | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Commanders | 67c | 248.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…d256backed Bengals | 76c | 247.37$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Commanders | 60c | 243.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Commanders | 24c | 240$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Bengals | 21c | 238.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Commanders | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Commanders | 47c | 237.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe250…969ebacked Bengals | 76c | 237$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…7045backed Bengals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.