NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ec541342b12dca8a94508ddfb4dd648fe170419f68bd9d29acf04b9275b957c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,338,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,390,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,338,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 772 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cd…0273backed Thunder | 58c | 307,651$178,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,213.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…aa99backed Timberwolves | 42c | 239,999$100,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,799.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Thunder | 57c | 222,320$126,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,597.46 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Timberwolves | 39c | 150,465$58,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,751.84 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder | 78c | 123,100$96,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,019.55 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f4…de66backed Timberwolves | 43c | 92,879$39,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,937.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Timberwolves | 41c | 82,806$33,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,950.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Timberwolves | 42c | 77,700$32,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,269.07 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Timberwolves | 42c | 62,648$26,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,422.68 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…fba3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 51,027$18,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,995.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 65c | 47,210$30,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,471.71 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Thunder | 62c | 46,057$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,557.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Timberwolves | 34c | 43,348$14,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,922.03 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Thunder | 75c | 41,911$31,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,389.31 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 58c | 39,597$22,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,630.9 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…acfbbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 35,141$12,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,539.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Thunder | 60c | 32,811$19,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,001.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…1183backed Thunder | 57c | 32,142$18,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,821.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 68c | 28,503$19,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,173.93 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 71c | 27,957$19,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.75 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Timberwolves | 36c | 27,533$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 26c | 23,795$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.41 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Thunder | 71c | 23,715$16,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,788.67 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ab05backed Timberwolves | 43c | 21,766$9,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,359.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Timberwolves | 6c | 21,509$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.2 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…4bb3backed Thunder | 59c | 20,643$12,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,463.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Timberwolves | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.98 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Timberwolves | 37c | 18,289$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.52 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 18,068$7,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Timberwolves | 28c | 17,148$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.08 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Thunder | 59c | 17,000$10,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 38c | 15,500$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Thunder | 79c | 14,836$11,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.19 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 41c | 14,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 59c | 12,793$7,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.14 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Timberwolves | 23c | 10,881$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Timberwolves | 41c | 10,693$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.13 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Timberwolves | 35c | 10,428$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.63 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Timberwolves | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Timberwolves | 32c | 9,355$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.49 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 59c | 8,833$5,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,621.59 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Thunder | 57c | 8,766$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 66c | 8,607$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.65 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Timberwolves | 38c | 8,599$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.65 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…132fbacked Thunder | 59c | 8,447$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Timberwolves | 42c | 8,333$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Timberwolves | 38c | 7,911$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.88 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 7,710$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 41c | 7,500$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 34c | 7,489$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.39 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Thunder | 65c | 6,697$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.71 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 6,498$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.95 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 6,409$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.62 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 57c | 6,247$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.22 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 33c | 6,047$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.43 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Thunder | 70c | 6,026$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.75 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Thunder | 64c | 5,908$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.88 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…fa02backed Thunder | 60c | 5,870$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Thunder | 62c | 5,426$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.52 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Thunder | 57c | 5,400$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…ce37backed Thunder | 70c | 5,016$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…48a5backed Timberwolves | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.97 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 34c | 4,775$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 73c | 4,767$3,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.94 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…3d11backed Timberwolves | 23c | 4,732$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Timberwolves | 32c | 4,709$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.59 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Timberwolves | 33c | 4,634$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Timberwolves | 24c | 4,416$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.23 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Timberwolves | 1c | 4,354$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…48aebacked Thunder | 71c | 4,108$2,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…7ddbbacked Timberwolves | 31c | 4,024$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…0c73backed Timberwolves | 1c | 4,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -59%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 4,000$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Thunder | 65c | 3,804$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.36 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 3,715$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.38 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…37c7backed Thunder | 71c | 3,523$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Thunder | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Timberwolves | 22c | 3,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…2a71backed Thunder | 58c | 3,490$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 23c | 3,444$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.15 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 58c | 3,250$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Timberwolves | 31c | 3,227$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Thunder | 59c | 3,197$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 3,060$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…13e3backed Thunder | 66c | 3,028$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 3,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Timberwolves | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Timberwolves | 0c | 2,963$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Timberwolves | 40c | 2,956$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.73 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 66c | 2,914$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.85 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Thunder | 70c | 2,914$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.56 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…55c8backed Thunder | 60c | 2,891$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…49d6backed Timberwolves | 41c | 2,854$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 19c | 2,650$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.6 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Thunder | 72c | 2,616$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.06 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Timberwolves | 28c | 2,563$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 223.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.