UFC · resolved market
Fiorot vs. Jasudavicius
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd716988a62b6811a5a5ae4664fa400fabb4fc45e038d9b06fb049981bd039fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fiorotof Fiorot, Jasudavicius
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,396,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,389,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,396,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Fiorot | 68c | 1,251,583$854,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396,660.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 220,000$69,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,400 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 170,643$54,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,592.93 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 158,624$51,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,453.66 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 152,540$47,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,681.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 140,000$43,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,400 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 96,000$31,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,220 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 93,780$29,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,326.99 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 46,232$14,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,331.84 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 44,642$14,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,089.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 33,000$10,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,410 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 21,944$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.64 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Fiorot | 69c | 20,000$13,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,210.06 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 19,020$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,925.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 17,472$5,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,654.19 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 14,000$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 13,733$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 12,775$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.52 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 11,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 9,903$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.96 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Fiorot | 67c | 8,034$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.42 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Fiorot | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 7,467$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.83 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 7,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 6,742$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Jasudavicius | 34c | 5,800$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 5,177$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 4,194$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.08 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 4,020$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 3,636$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.46 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Fiorot | 66c | 3,474$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 3,396$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.14 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Jasudavicius | 33c | 3,220$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jasudavicius | 18c | 2,988$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.52 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Fiorot | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.05 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Fiorot | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 2,800$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 2,483$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Jasudavicius | 33c | 2,386$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Fiorot | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 2,000$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 1,848$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.26 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Fiorot | 70c | 1,602$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.52 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 1,547$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.33 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Fiorot | 66c | 1,537$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 1,531$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Fiorot | 70c | 1,436$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.91 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 1,400$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.72 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fiorot | 70c | 1,367$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.21 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 1,200$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Fiorot | 67c | 1,199$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.69 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Fiorot | 69c | 1,165$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.27 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Fiorot | 68c | 1,103$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Fiorot | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Fiorot | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Fiorot | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Fiorot | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 859$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.01 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Fiorot | 69c | 804.19$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 779.57$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…9c04backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 779.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 765$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Fiorot | 67c | 749.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Fiorot | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…20f1backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 722$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 718$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 674.24$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Jasudavicius | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Fiorot | 73c | 631$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…baa0backed Fiorot | 68c | 592.19$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Fiorot | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed Fiorot | 71c | 572.66$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Fiorot | 68c | 544.13$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fiorot | 67c | 502.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Fiorot | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Fiorot | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Fiorot | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 499.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Jasudavicius | 33c | 457.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Fiorot | 68c | 438.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Fiorot | 70c | 386$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 347$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Fiorot | 74c | 329$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 320$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Fiorot | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Fiorot | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jasudavicius | 31c | 299.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Jasudavicius | 32c | 296.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…291cbacked Fiorot | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…4340backed Jasudavicius | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…4e1bbacked Fiorot | 69c | 279.65$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Jasudavicius | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fiorot vs. Jasudaviciusthis page
- Allen vs. de RidderAllen won
- Barlow vs. SantosSantos won
- Bekoev vs. BelgarouiBelgaroui won
- Dober vs. PrepolecDober won
- Frevola vs. NelsonNelson won
- Grant vs. JourdainJourdain won
- Lisboa vs. CrodenCroden won
- Luciano vs. OliveiraLuciano won
- Malott vs. HollandMalott won
- Silva vs. ParkSilva won
- Vera vs. ZahabiZahabi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.