TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Vera vs. Zahabi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zahabiof Vera, Zahabi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Vera44c79,527$34,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,980.07944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Zahabi55c57,629$31,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,201.357656.6%43 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Vera61c38,149$23,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,41929151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Vera44c37,331$16,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,536.966346%29 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Zahabi47c35,745$16,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,027.626841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Zahabi49c30,790$15,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,696.8628043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Vera45c21,232$9,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,616.237841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Zahabi55c20,337$11,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,146.855149%25 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Zahabi56c19,518$10,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,588.286850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Zahabi54c16,002$8,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,342.852060%12 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Vera46c13,610$6,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Zahabi55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9722259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Zahabi27c10,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,30010522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Zahabi56c8,798$4,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.466451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zahabi54c6,164$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,835.4933253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Zahabi55c5,999$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.5130039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Zahabi56c4,672$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.644856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Zahabi54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84035253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Zahabi57c3,541$2,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.4216951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Zahabi55c3,200$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44017752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Vera44c3,178$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.24337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Zahabi55c3,132$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.169164.8%59 W · 32 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Vera44c3,000$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33228849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Vera44c2,654$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.5226743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vera44c2,629$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.2820139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Vera43c2,350$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.4912052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Zahabi54c2,196$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0102759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Vera46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Zahabi55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90042042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Zahabi55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Zahabi55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Zahabi53c1,900$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.3953956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad79…7abbbacked Zahabi56c1,798$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.14875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Vera45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80031855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Vera45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67520233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Zahabi53c1,476$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.4420954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Zahabi54c1,467$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.830964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Zahabi59c1,300$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.4539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Zahabi43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68416247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdd…5feabacked Vera46c1,165$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a3…911ebacked Zahabi56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.431172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Vera36c1,066$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Zahabi55c1,037$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.117850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Vera45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…4060backed Vera1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3945…16d7backed Vera1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Zahabi55c999.91$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Vera45c959.98$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.995431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Vera54c933.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.775244.2%23 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vera45c785.89$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.655356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Vera44c765$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.63234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Vera41c660$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.4311140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Zahabi55c654.55$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.553148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Zahabi52c613$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0621554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf838…2aa0backed Zahabi56c589.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.291376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Vera44c557.09$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5919230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Zahabi55c556.36$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3613450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Vera45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Vera45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Vera45c554.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.756756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Vera46c552.89$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.8910043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Vera46c547.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Vera45c533$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.857237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Vera5c530.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3721247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Zahabi38c503.75$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.061145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Vera46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Zahabi50c464.73$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.655459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf53b…4340backed Vera52c455.1$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd81…d892backed Vera45c443.31$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Vera46c438.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Vera46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Zahabi60c417.36$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2537754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Vera45c406.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.8356450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Vera45c403.37$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5232545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Zahabi55c400$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.56462.5%40 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Zahabi55c363.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6313044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Vera45c322.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14512639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Zahabi56c302.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.981741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Vera46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1384746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Zahabi51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1478835.2%31 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Vera45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Zahabi55c265$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2513041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Zahabi55c263.69$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6616851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Zahabi48c261.1$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.763756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Vera44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Vera45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Vera45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Vera45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44c4…501bbacked Zahabi56c222$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Vera45c221.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Vera46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe583…bbd7backed Vera46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9001…d9bebacked Vera47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Vera46c203.87$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.783855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Vera45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Zahabi54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9228743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1261…4e88backed Zahabi56c196.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed Vera45c184.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Vera45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8148749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Zahabi56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.