UFC · resolved market
Silva vs. Park
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32cc138b41104414cf56e2cb53dbf63387d99b9f217cd1f8bd68454600d542da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Silva, Park
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Silva | 68c | 20,422$13,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.09 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Park | 29c | 16,317$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Silva | 34c | 8,586$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.63 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a85fbacked Silva | 36c | 5,568$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Park | 63c | 5,541$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.53 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Park | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Park | 65c | 4,443$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Park | 48c | 3,388$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.13 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Park | 67c | 2,991$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Silva | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Silva | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Park | 68c | 1,613$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Silva | 32c | 1,600$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Park | 45c | 1,267$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.72 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Park | 66c | 1,155$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.43 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Park | 64c | 1,119$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.44 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Park | 67c | 1,078$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.99 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Park | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…dc03backed Silva | 37c | 832.51$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Silva | 34c | 793.23$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.53 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Park | 4c | 700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2202…a8f3backed Silva | 34c | 695.71$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…f1c9backed Silva | 64c | 632.19$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Silva | 34c | 619.84$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.3 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f3…a4e4backed Silva | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Silva | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Silva | 70c | 540.94$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Park | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Silva | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Park | 68c | 442.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Silva | 66c | 381.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Silva | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Silva | 35c | 301.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.51 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Park | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Park | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Silva | 35c | 286$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed Silva | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Silva | 32c | 280$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Park | 58c | 258.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Park | 48c | 234.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…41aebacked Park | 45c | 229.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Park | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…9613backed Park | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…8864backed Park | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Park | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Park | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Park | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Park | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…d0bbbacked Silva | 34c | 128.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Silva | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Silva | 33c | 99.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Silva | 33c | 82.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Park | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Park | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Silva | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Silva | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Silva | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Park | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Park | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Park | 59c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Park | 65c | 58.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…89dbbacked Silva | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f2…fbddbacked Park | 44c | 56.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e1…e988backed Silva | 34c | 55.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed Silva | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Park | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Park | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Park | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Silva | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Silva | 34c | 48.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Silva | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Park | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Silva | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Park | 65c | 31.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed Park | 67c | 31.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…2fa2backed Silva | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Park | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Park | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…bbd7backed Park | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Park | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…3506backed Park | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…6b4dbacked Park | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…507cbacked Park | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…2589backed Park | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9639…4a68backed Silva | 56c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Park | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Silva vs. Parkthis page
- Allen vs. de RidderAllen won
- Barlow vs. SantosSantos won
- Bekoev vs. BelgarouiBelgaroui won
- Dober vs. PrepolecDober won
- Fiorot vs. JasudaviciusFiorot won
- Frevola vs. NelsonNelson won
- Grant vs. JourdainJourdain won
- Lisboa vs. CrodenCroden won
- Luciano vs. OliveiraLuciano won
- Malott vs. HollandMalott won
- Vera vs. ZahabiZahabi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.