TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Bekoev vs. Belgaroui

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Belgarouiof Bekoev, Belgaroui
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Belgaroui27c15,161$4,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,067.7619544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Bekoev73c6,500$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.9711746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a85fbacked Bekoev73c6,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb7…6e92backed Bekoev75c5,735$4,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,294.9366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bekoev73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92028849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Belgaroui27c3,374$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.028940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Bekoev59c2,506$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.9830964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Belgaroui45c2,157$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.8921247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Belgaroui24c2,058$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Belgaroui25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50042042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ba…9c04backed Belgaroui28c1,768$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.321020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xae87…e848backed Bekoev73c1,732$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Belgaroui26c1,684$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.673151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Belgaroui27c1,325$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.3610928.4%31 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Belgaroui12c1,101$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.321872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Belgaroui26c1,063$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.6133253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Belgaroui28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Belgaroui26c999.98$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.9820249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bekoev72c894$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6818560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Belgaroui28c890.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.3218145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Belgaroui32c810.03$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0426552.1%138 W · 127 L+23.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Belgaroui75c776.67$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3229151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Bekoev66c760$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Bekoev4c700$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Belgaroui72c678.57$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19013650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Bekoev70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…f1c9backed Belgaroui71c594.7$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.72475%18 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Bekoev74c574.32$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42535764.7%231 W · 126 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Bekoev50c541.39$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7654056.7%306 W · 234 L-1.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dea…2feebacked Bekoev56c479.94$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bekoev70c466.1$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2712262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Belgaroui27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29236745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Bekoev73c375$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.756547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Belgaroui28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.144856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Bekoev73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2194746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Bekoev73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb49d…fdefbacked Bekoev74c271.47$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.892857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…bdfabacked Bekoev34c271.39$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.271963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Bekoev48c240$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.46741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Belgaroui28c237.73$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.178535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Bekoev72c236.11$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Bekoev73c219.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Belgaroui26c162.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4251533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Bekoev59c146.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.623943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Bekoev71c140.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bekoev73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Bekoev74c134.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022853.1%121 W · 107 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ec…1bafbacked Bekoev76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Belgaroui34c126.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Bekoev73c122.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9036755.3%203 W · 164 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Belgaroui26c122.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4412446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Belgaroui33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2132431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Belgaroui29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.211152.3%58 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a53…d54cbacked Belgaroui31c114.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc754…6b43backed Bekoev73c108.55$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.243458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Belgaroui72c107.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8621554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Belgaroui75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Bekoev72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.652252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c8…ce8bbacked Bekoev74c95.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Bekoev74c79.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Belgaroui26c76.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.373756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a6b…d279backed Bekoev74c74.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Bekoev72c69.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2612147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Bekoev74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013465.7%88 W · 46 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ad…f8fbbacked Belgaroui28c64.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+125.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe40…2f99backed Belgaroui27c60.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.265234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Belgaroui30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe583…bbd7backed Belgaroui28c55.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Bekoev73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1f…2589backed Belgaroui28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e94…db47backed Bekoev70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511364.6%73 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef6…8c16backed Belgaroui37c44.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4411337.2%42 W · 71 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Belgaroui28c41.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Belgaroui27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.216736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Bekoev67c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7948749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…40c5backed Bekoev74c39.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+59.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8156…507cbacked Bekoev74c37.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59a6…2fa2backed Belgaroui67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Bekoev73c27.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.134944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e1…e988backed Bekoev73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe318…3506backed Bekoev74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff5…89dbbacked Bekoev73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154850%24 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe274…dc85backed Bekoev72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.