TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Dober vs. Prepolec

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Doberof Dober, Prepolec
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,467 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…b77abacked Prepolec27c29,761$7,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,957.0722259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Dober73c15,276$11,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.162759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Prepolec61c12,193$7,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,405.4229151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Dober73c8,557$6,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.397545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Dober26c7,472$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.5110522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Dober73c7,007$5,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8923151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e53…b9d1backed Dober75c5,358$4,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.621154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Dober78c5,106$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.245955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Dober80c4,996$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.220954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Dober74c4,893$3,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.35356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Prepolec25c4,538$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.4211746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Dober75c2,837$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.0712055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a3…911ebacked Dober73c2,518$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Dober38c1,989$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.0521247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Prepolec22c1,552$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4912134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Prepolec26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked Dober73c1,416$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.342161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Dober30c1,399$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.5718145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Prepolec25c1,213$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.258940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Prepolec24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2887237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dober74c1,200$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dober72c1,119$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1133253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Prepolec29c1,047$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Prepolec25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dober76c971.99$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2818560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Dober77c936.04$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2312262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dober72c899.95$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9921044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Prepolec22c899.73$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9410928.4%31 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Dober73c812.33$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.336756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Dober73c808.52$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.526155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed3…07c9backed Dober75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Prepolec36c628.23$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9226451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Dober74c595.31$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7829848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Prepolec22c585.6$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.81944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Prepolec69c580$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Dober74c540.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-66.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Prepolec24c496.63$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3819230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Prepolec24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.451533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Prepolec25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37f…6d0ebacked Prepolec28c370.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Prepolec28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Dober39c311.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Dober37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18926743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Prepolec26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Prepolec25c299.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Prepolec24c280.66$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3612147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Dober73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.973655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4f…bdfabacked Prepolec38c250.81$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5ab…341bbacked Dober72c236.06$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.662441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Dober72c223.11$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.383740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea0…41aebacked Prepolec29c215.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Dober72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5622661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Dober24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1526650%33 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dober75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5039959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Prepolec10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Prepolec28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x731c…a252backed Dober68c196.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Prepolec22c195$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.96850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6098…599fbacked Dober73c190.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.46825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Dober77c183$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.097343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Prepolec20c181.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.29825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Prepolec20c169.23$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8530964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Prepolec25c165.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-53.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Prepolec23c164.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8414144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Prepolec20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Prepolec22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3348749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Dober35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8610043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Prepolec29c139.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Dober73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Dober80c132.7$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.541872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+73.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Dober76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5816655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0dc…84e0backed Prepolec23c124.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.756547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Dober60c115$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc35…d905backed Prepolec26c114.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.332050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Dober13c111.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9716955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b5f…8812backed Prepolec27c109.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Prepolec64c109.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Prepolec21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12b…2811backed Prepolec20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+87.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Prepolec28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Prepolec25c88.28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2228333.2%94 W · 189 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Dober73c81.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Dober77c79.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493959%23 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b75…1fcbbacked Prepolec28c72.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe583…bbd7backed Dober73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Prepolec27c67.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4952252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe40…2f99backed Prepolec27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb167…b2f9backed Prepolec65c60.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.592142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Prepolec25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9999…9868backed Dober50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38eb…a211backed Prepolec28c57.74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.393663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f1f…2589backed Prepolec27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c5…90babacked Prepolec27c55.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+68.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Dober74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.059547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Dober79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.633351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Prepolec27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe274…dc85backed Prepolec28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Dober80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.56563.1%41 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59a6…2fa2backed Dober79c35.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Dober75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.336360.3%38 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.