UFC · resolved market
Dober vs. Prepolec
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fa9c68582e33c20caabbc6869ed95ba81cf0338fc8018b221ea62a220ea16d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doberof Dober, Prepolec
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Prepolec | 27c | 29,761$7,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,957.07 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Dober | 73c | 15,276$11,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Prepolec | 61c | 12,193$7,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,405.42 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Dober | 73c | 8,557$6,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.39 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Dober | 26c | 7,472$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.51 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Dober | 73c | 7,007$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed Dober | 75c | 5,358$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Dober | 78c | 5,106$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.24 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Dober | 80c | 4,996$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.2 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Dober | 74c | 4,893$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.3 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Prepolec | 25c | 4,538$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.42 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Dober | 75c | 2,837$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.07 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Dober | 73c | 2,518$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dober | 38c | 1,989$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.05 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Prepolec | 22c | 1,552$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.49 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Prepolec | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Dober | 73c | 1,416$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dober | 30c | 1,399$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.57 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Prepolec | 25c | 1,213$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.25 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Prepolec | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Dober | 74c | 1,200$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dober | 72c | 1,119$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Prepolec | 29c | 1,047$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Prepolec | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Dober | 76c | 971.99$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Dober | 77c | 936.04$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dober | 72c | 899.95$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Prepolec | 22c | 899.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Dober | 73c | 812.33$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Dober | 73c | 808.52$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.52 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…07c9backed Dober | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Prepolec | 36c | 628.23$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Dober | 74c | 595.31$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Prepolec | 22c | 585.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed Prepolec | 69c | 580$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed Dober | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Prepolec | 24c | 496.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Prepolec | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Prepolec | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Prepolec | 28c | 370.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Prepolec | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Dober | 39c | 311.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Dober | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Prepolec | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Prepolec | 25c | 299.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Prepolec | 24c | 280.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Dober | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…bdfabacked Prepolec | 38c | 250.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Dober | 72c | 236.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Dober | 72c | 223.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…41aebacked Prepolec | 29c | 215.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Dober | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Dober | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dober | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Prepolec | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Prepolec | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed Dober | 68c | 196.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Prepolec | 22c | 195$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…599fbacked Dober | 73c | 190.6$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dober | 77c | 183$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Prepolec | 20c | 181.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Prepolec | 20c | 169.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Prepolec | 25c | 165.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Prepolec | 23c | 164.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Prepolec | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Prepolec | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Dober | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Prepolec | 29c | 139.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Dober | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Dober | 80c | 132.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Dober | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Prepolec | 23c | 124.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Dober | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Prepolec | 26c | 114.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Dober | 13c | 111.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…8812backed Prepolec | 27c | 109.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Prepolec | 64c | 109.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Prepolec | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…2811backed Prepolec | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Prepolec | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Prepolec | 25c | 88.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Dober | 73c | 81.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Dober | 77c | 79.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…1fcbbacked Prepolec | 28c | 72.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…bbd7backed Dober | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Prepolec | 27c | 67.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…2f99backed Prepolec | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Prepolec | 65c | 60.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Prepolec | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Dober | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Prepolec | 28c | 57.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…2589backed Prepolec | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…90babacked Prepolec | 27c | 55.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Dober | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Dober | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Prepolec | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed Prepolec | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Dober | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…2fa2backed Dober | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Dober | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dober vs. Prepolecthis page
- Allen vs. de RidderAllen won
- Barlow vs. SantosSantos won
- Bekoev vs. BelgarouiBelgaroui won
- Fiorot vs. JasudaviciusFiorot won
- Frevola vs. NelsonNelson won
- Grant vs. JourdainJourdain won
- Lisboa vs. CrodenCroden won
- Luciano vs. OliveiraLuciano won
- Malott vs. HollandMalott won
- Silva vs. ParkSilva won
- Vera vs. ZahabiZahabi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.