TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1337…2b45

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.8
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$43.5
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$30.15
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$47.73
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$49.82
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.76
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.58
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$47.6
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$37.12
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.84
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.85
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$14.85
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.68
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$15
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$9
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$14
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$21.85
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$14.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.69
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.52
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.71
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.05
LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.94
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$33.84
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST3447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.74
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$20.7
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.04
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$22.5
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.26
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$18.5
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$19.74
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.66
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.49
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.3%+$32.86
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.64
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.69
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.9
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Heat vs. Spursbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.68
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18.75
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10.08
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.02
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$22.8
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$47.3
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.52
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.27
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+190.2%+$63.57
Fever vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.69
Aces vs. Stormbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Sparks vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.76
Valkyries vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$14.31
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Sparks vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Fever vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$27.35
Fever vs. Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+167.6%+$68.26
Mercury vs. Sparksbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Aces vs. Skybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$16
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.96
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$16.43
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+97.8%+$12.36
Mercury vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.62
Dream vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.72
Mercury vs Stormbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.58
Fever vs Sunbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.79
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bonfim vs. Padillabacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Emmers vs. Amilbacked Amil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
Barcelos vs. Simonbacked Simon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.32
Wells vs. Gorimbobacked Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.87
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
Vera vs. Zahabibacked Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$24.06
Silva vs. Parkbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.81
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Magnybacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.6
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$15
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.17
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.88
UFC Fight Night: Maheshate vs. Youngbacked Maheshate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.61
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Daukausbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.02
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. Youbacked Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.82
UFC Fight Night: Satybaldiev vs. Nurgozhaybacked Satybaldiev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+53.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.9
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.55
LoL: IG vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.79
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.