WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs. Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27bf75a62da231cbfa4f1f664bae6bcd242a6b3b86d2080e5f913543889181a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Valkyries, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Storm | 56c | 10,872$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,753.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Valkyries | 40c | 4,975$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Valkyries | 34c | 4,507$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.34 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 29c | 4,114$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.06 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Storm | 71c | 3,148$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Storm | 61c | 2,246$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 71c | 1,673$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.05 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries | 44c | 1,213$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.59 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Storm | 71c | 1,184$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Storm | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Valkyries | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Storm | 51c | 926.07$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 29c | 892$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 70c | 734.78$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Storm | 70c | 707.38$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.63 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Valkyries | 71c | 595.25$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.74 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Valkyries | 47c | 572.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Storm | 71c | 536$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Valkyries | 43c | 514.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Valkyries | 28c | 485.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Valkyries | 44c | 473.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 56c | 470.77$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Storm | 62c | 467.74$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Storm | 71c | 399.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Valkyries | 39c | 399.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Storm | 72c | 399$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 61c | 398.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Storm | 71c | 372.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 44c | 367$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 29c | 344.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Storm | 52c | 334.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Storm | 72c | 330.83$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Valkyries | 30c | 312.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Valkyries | 54c | 269.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 44c | 212$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 48c | 209.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Storm | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Valkyries | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Valkyries | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Storm | 71c | 152.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Storm | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 30c | 132.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Storm | 71c | 108.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Storm | 69c | 108.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Valkyries | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Storm | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Valkyries | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Valkyries | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Storm | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked Valkyries | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Valkyries | 30c | 56.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Storm | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Valkyries | 42c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Valkyries | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -68%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…55d9backed Valkyries | 30c | 40.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Valkyries | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Storm | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Storm | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…ca6ebacked Storm | 71c | 21.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Storm | 80c | 19.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Storm | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.