NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206ab2a74ebebe153a091ca795a98d06cf9fbbebc12d1e2d6f0d10fce918aee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Warriors, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $708,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $708,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Pacers | 20c | 77,283$15,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,954.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Pacers | 7c | 39,314$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,615.54 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Warriors | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 72c | 22,322$16,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,087.11 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,199.8 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Pacers | 47c | 17,544$8,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,350.79 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Pacers | 19c | 14,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,349.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pacers | 20c | 11,702$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,346.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Pacers | 18c | 11,264$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,263.51 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…5521backed Warriors | 11c | 10,450$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pacers | 19c | 10,112$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.3 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pacers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Warriors | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 80c | 9,842$7,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,873.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Pacers | 18c | 9,644$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,907.8 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Pacers | 40c | 9,008$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 2c | 7,907$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Warriors | 58c | 7,777$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.66 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…284fbacked Warriors | 80c | 7,116$5,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,692.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Pacers | 7c | 7,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 61c | 6,586$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.99 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pacers | 20c | 6,028$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.08 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Warriors | 80c | 5,975$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.94 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Pacers | 14c | 5,214$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.87 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Pacers | 52c | 5,071$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.6 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 20c | 4,050$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pacers | 18c | 4,015$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.29 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Warriors | 72c | 3,550$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.81 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Warriors | 64c | 3,000$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Pacers | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.98 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 69c | 2,980$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.53 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 80c | 2,969$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.15 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 78c | 2,821$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.72 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Warriors | 76c | 2,759$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.27 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Pacers | 7c | 2,721$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.53 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 68c | 2,600$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.49 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pacers | 19c | 2,551$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.16 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Pacers | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.99 | 167 | 30.5%51 W · 116 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Pacers | 21c | 2,364$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.64 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Pacers | 36c | 2,330$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.2 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pacers | 18c | 2,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.98 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pacers | 23c | 2,173$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.92 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…a510backed Pacers | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 80c | 2,092$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Pacers | 17c | 2,000$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.29 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Warriors | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.78 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pacers | 27c | 1,840$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.91 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pacers | 69c | 1,774$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Pacers | 30c | 1,731$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.56 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Pacers | 21c | 1,634$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.96 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Pacers | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.95 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Pacers | 19c | 1,561$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.83 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Pacers | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 100 | 27%27 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5f…743cbacked Warriors | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 60cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Pacers | 22c | 1,390$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.2 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pacers | 23c | 1,207$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.62 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 1c | 1,202$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pacers | 33c | 1,150$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Warriors | 33c | 1,143$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Pacers | 78c | 1,138$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Pacers | 27c | 1,134$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.4 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Pacers | 23c | 1,092$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Warriors | 78c | 1,045$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.19 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Pacers | 22c | 1,006$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.21 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…a633backed Pacers | 21c | 1,003$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +316.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Pacers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…bbc9backed Pacers | 20c | 994.05$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Pacers | 19c | 957.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.78 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 17c | 949.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.23 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 14c | 924.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.84 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 34c | 923.61$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.27 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Warriors | 22c | 899.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pacers | 25c | 847.91$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.11 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Pacers | 24c | 820.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.43 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…bba5backed Warriors | 80c | 800$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…2d49backed Warriors | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeba…4e79backed Pacers | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…7b11backed Pacers | 34c | 799.77$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Warriors | 69c | 750$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Warriors | 66c | 743.07$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Pacers | 29c | 715.8$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.55 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Pacers | 28c | 710.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.96 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Warriors | 74c | 700$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pacers | 20c | 624.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…477cbacked Pacers | 29c | 614.74$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pacers | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Pacers | 16c | 564.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.65 | 270 | 34.8%94 W · 176 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pacers | 19c | 559$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.79 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Pacers | 19c | 550$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Warriors | 80c | 550$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…1779backed Pacers | 22c | 538.27$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Pacers | 39c | 530.48$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.59 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 61c | 522.23$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Warriors | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pacers | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…449bbacked Pacers | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…37bfbacked Pacers | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pacers | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.