TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,026,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,133,456

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 676 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Yes66c206,159$135,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,842.166357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes67c123,037$82,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,957.3720039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed Yes66c107,366$70,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,504.292626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes67c101,307$67,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,516.3114544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No33c80,061$26,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,420.128355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No34c70,891$23,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,98530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No35c62,140$21,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,656.68750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No34c55,770$18,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,704.2110357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No34c50,000$17,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,249.973834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No33c49,500$16,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,446.9220140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No34c36,872$12,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,483.5710849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed No33c32,000$10,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,689.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No34c27,941$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c27,499$9,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,380.8810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No33c22,650$7,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,474.442941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c19,537$13,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,431.851,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No33c17,796$5,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,872.6915949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No28c16,786$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.0235758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c15,797$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.1579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed No33c15,166$4,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,950.514143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No5c13,839$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.136015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No32c13,384$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,328.2617958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes66c13,000$8,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4209646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No34c12,182$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,141.882857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No34c12,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No26c11,782$3,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.7540046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c11,596$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.24,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No33c10,326$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.6822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes68c10,000$6,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No19c9,713$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.6556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c9,582$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.8831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes66c9,266$6,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.454447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No13c8,773$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No20c7,336$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.3751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d1…12b4backed Yes68c6,789$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes67c6,075$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.748939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No33c6,075$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.735042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9938649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes67c5,822$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.2727235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No35c5,630$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.914254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No34c5,476$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.73718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes67c5,446$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.043450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked No18c5,189$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.531010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No14c4,572$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.664235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Yes66c4,388$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.882951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No11c4,367$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1513727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes68c4,254$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.2618948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes67c3,873$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.133871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x532f…94c3backed No34c3,800$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes65c3,519$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.6532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…2b60backed No34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No31c3,442$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.9446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes65c3,374$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.799917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.34348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8d…8189backed No34c3,006$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.171225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No34c2,600$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No34c2,525$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.6983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No34c2,471$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.1424566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes65c2,470$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.71,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No32c2,359$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.319735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes66c2,311$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No11c2,131$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.956334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No35c2,040$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71441437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Yes66c2,033$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.062259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked No34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6803839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c0…c012backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9811838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Yes67c1,908$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c5…98ecbacked Yes67c1,850$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6bbacked No34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6121258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b6…9d5ebacked Yes66c1,800$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34a…98b8backed Yes67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1319…cf06backed Yes66c1,740$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes67c1,652$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.412753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…1003backed Yes67c1,650$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No34c1,539$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.266744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6339…a0c9backed Yes66c1,538$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes71c1,520$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8817837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.159749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4954139%16 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09e2…5c27backed Yes67c1,498$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.386100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-51.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked No30c1,485$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.914339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3753…dc42backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No16c1,449$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c1,392$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.357035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No34c1,360$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.42552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes67c1,217$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.617659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4636…1052backed Yes66c1,212$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes68c1,188$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.752748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.472147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No31c1,147$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.930149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No3c1,095$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No33c1,082$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2227454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No34c1,081$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes66c1,050$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da1…d3bebacked Yes67c1,038$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.191643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No30c1,032$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.5711125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No35c1,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.