Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeacdda74a1718cd5d853ae4e4803be0de2196a9d399a06e33552c8445d3aa2af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 21c | 6,613$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.7 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,516$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…a3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 79c | 1,414$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 1,310$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.93 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed No | 79c | 1,206$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…a20abacked Yes | 21c | 949.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…6fa7backed No | 79c | 860.76$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 5c | 841.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 22c | 681.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 16c | 625.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Yes | 16c | 622.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 16c | 613.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed Yes | 15c | 585.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 21c | 452.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 80c | 409$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 15c | 380.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 80c | 360$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1d55backed No | 77c | 335$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 266.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 78c | 261.43$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 258$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 78c | 250.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…6842backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 80c | 232$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…a242backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…6cc9backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 6c | 222.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 22c | 211$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acd…ea40backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…f778backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…593dbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…2ee8backed Yes | 20c | 140.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked No | 80c | 136.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…0bfabacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…2711backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0e39backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 21c | 72.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 19c | 67.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 65.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 21c | 53.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…8fd1backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 80c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…9e37backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 80cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…eb1cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…f85dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…93febacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.