Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc4280dcdacc8ba70af61cd4dece432ef94dac4170780a4f4463d549fcd059f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lithuaniaof Lithuania, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sweden | 0c | 8,144$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sweden | 25c | 2,066$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.15 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Sweden | 54c | 2,000$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lithuania | 68c | 1,233$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.59 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Lithuania | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lithuania | 67c | 953.94$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Lithuania | 69c | 930.4$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Lithuania | 60c | 850$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Lithuania | 45c | 722.02$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Sweden | 45c | 673.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Sweden | 22c | 606.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Sweden | 49c | 600$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sweden | 21c | 598.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Sweden | 23c | 576.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Lithuania | 77c | 516.6$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…a94dbacked Lithuania | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Lithuania | 75c | 494.73$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…d6bfbacked Lithuania | 71c | 469.08$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Lithuania | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Lithuania | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sweden | 39c | 371.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Lithuania | 61c | 314.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Lithuania | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Lithuania | 60c | 204.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Lithuania | 57c | 197.67$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sweden | 25c | 181.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Lithuania | 76c | 176.07$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Lithuania | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Sweden | 36c | 140$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Lithuania | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Lithuania | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Lithuania | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Lithuania | 77c | 129.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Lithuania | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Sweden | 43c | 127.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec84…5860backed Lithuania | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Sweden | 20c | 115.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…e547backed Lithuania | 78c | 112.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Lithuania | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sweden | 22c | 99.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Lithuania | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Lithuania | 78c | 85.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Lithuania | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Sweden | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Lithuania | 80c | 69.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…4f2cbacked Lithuania | 70c | 68.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…5655backed Lithuania | 61c | 58.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Lithuania | 74c | 55.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Sweden | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sweden | 22c | 45.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked Lithuania | 78c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…2357backed Lithuania | 77c | 38.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Lithuania | 78c | 32.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Lithuania | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b6f5backed Lithuania | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lithuania | 53c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Lithuania | 79c | 24.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d6…fa41backed Lithuania | 69c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Lithuania | 78c | 18.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed Lithuania | 78c | 16.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…30e9backed Lithuania | 78c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.