WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs. Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33165461813e32ae1997870be9a4ca43c3af7fa9d46276fdc64eb7c09e4dd6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sparks | 23c | 13,664$3,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,580.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Sparks | 26c | 7,638$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Storm | 76c | 7,009$5,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sparks | 19c | 5,308$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,286.33 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 25c | 4,371$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.1 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sparks | 7c | 2,475$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.67 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Sparks | 33c | 2,386$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.49 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Storm | 74c | 1,898$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.9 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sparks | 24c | 1,521$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.93 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sparks | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Sparks | 25c | 1,407$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.58 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Storm | 71c | 1,400$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 74c | 1,355$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.98 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Storm | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed Storm | 77c | 1,284$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sparks | 27c | 1,213$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.82 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm | 59c | 1,114$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.77 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sparks | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Storm | 79c | 899.48$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…ce4dbacked Storm | 75c | 813.96$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sparks | 24c | 767$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.92 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed Sparks | 25c | 700$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sparks | 25c | 699.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.98 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sparks | 26c | 699.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.81 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Sparks | 15c | 678.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Storm | 73c | 606.63$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Sparks | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.39 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Sparks | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sparks | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Storm | 76c | 499.6$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Sparks | 21c | 486.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Sparks | 22c | 445.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked Storm | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Storm | 76c | 400$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Sparks | 18c | 382.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Sparks | 20c | 345$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Storm | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Sparks | 28c | 285.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Storm | 75c | 277.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Storm | 73c | 275.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Storm | 77c | 250$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Sparks | 41c | 245.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Storm | 66c | 213$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Sparks | 24c | 206$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Storm | 75c | 201$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Sparks | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sparks | 80c | 166$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Storm | 75c | 160$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Storm | 76c | 154.34$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Storm | 75c | 150.01$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Storm | 75c | 148.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Storm | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 71cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Storm | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Storm | 71c | 106.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Sparks | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Sparks | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Storm | 75c | 94.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Sparks | 34c | 92.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sparks | 24c | 90$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Sparks | 23c | 87.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sparks | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Storm | 73c | 67.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7c…f01ebacked Storm | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Storm | 75c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…8002backed Storm | 76c | 52.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sparks | 25c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Storm | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Sparks | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…e434backed Storm | 69c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d3debacked Sparks | 32c | 47.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sparks | 23c | 46.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Storm | 80c | 41.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…1934backed Storm | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…9362backed Storm | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Storm | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Sparks | 50c | 29.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Storm | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…9bffbacked Storm | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…9e05backed Storm | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…da8abacked Storm | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Storm | 74c | 16.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Storm | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…afcdbacked Storm | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.