TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Secret Whalesof Movistar KOI, Team Secret Whales
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$644,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$758,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,374 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf21…01a8backed Movistar KOI2c123,770$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Movistar KOI0c76,272$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4510048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa19…4f3cbacked Team Secret Whales35c46,113$16,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,084.974223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ce…9968backed Team Secret Whales31c35,000$10,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,150.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Movistar KOI71c34,972$24,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,847.7625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Team Secret Whales26c30,387$7,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,535.787839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1099…b0febacked Movistar KOI43c15,232$6,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,486.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Movistar KOI63c10,589$6,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,637.0719041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…d292backed Movistar KOI0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Movistar KOI71c8,658$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,171.3825269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Movistar KOI19c8,094$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.2935448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Movistar KOI69c8,000$5,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,519.943745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Team Secret Whales11c5,800$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,178.3112132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked Movistar KOI79c5,748$4,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,526.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x757d…a7ccbacked Team Secret Whales76c5,257$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Movistar KOI42c5,050$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.351,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84c…d40cbacked Team Secret Whales78c4,906$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.315166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc06a…f31fbacked Team Secret Whales61c4,666$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.351250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Team Secret Whales71c4,229$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.7544550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Movistar KOI67c3,777$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.5841752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Team Secret Whales44c3,412$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.442965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Secret Whales78c3,218$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.0823657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Movistar KOI42c2,679$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.6618340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Movistar KOI69c2,463$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.471,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Movistar KOI24c2,172$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.4514757.1%84 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Movistar KOI68c2,158$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.2751160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Movistar KOI40c2,011$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Secret Whales33c2,005$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.5234837.4%130 W · 218 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…47e6backed Team Secret Whales13c2,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7402425%6 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15b…252ebacked Team Secret Whales40c1,596$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.023943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e59…a17cbacked Team Secret Whales72c1,552$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4272166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb942…890bbacked Movistar KOI34c1,500$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.083145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5073…59f0backed Team Secret Whales25c1,500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.999348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Team Secret Whales31c1,452$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.8411839%46 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Movistar KOI3c1,267$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0612022.5%27 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Team Secret Whales27c1,243$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.457030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Movistar KOI1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Team Secret Whales19c906.54$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.9114425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc374…ecf5backed Movistar KOI31c864.39$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-78%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8e0…b495backed Team Secret Whales75c850.01$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.132055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93ad…cb3cbacked Movistar KOI43c849.34$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.044139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Team Secret Whales50c829.06$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.5328855.9%161 W · 127 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Movistar KOI72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9090…d0fdbacked Team Secret Whales76c660$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1089…830ebacked Team Secret Whales41c618.47$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.473145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Movistar KOI63c611.06$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3872572%18 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77c…587ebacked Team Secret Whales33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.063737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Team Secret Whales62c600$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23050569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Movistar KOI71c599.98$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Team Secret Whales30c585$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.0414236.6%52 W · 90 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Movistar KOI37c539.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Movistar KOI69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34543539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c1…8a69backed Team Secret Whales30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3505322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Secret Whales27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3651,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Movistar KOI3c449.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc05a…9bf0backed Team Secret Whales46c445.13$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.963161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Team Secret Whales29c424.14$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.148947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae2…7119backed Movistar KOI24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Team Secret Whales42c406.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.620035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcc…afccbacked Movistar KOI25c402.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Team Secret Whales72c400$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7129758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Movistar KOI63c396.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504022.5%9 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Secret Whales30c392.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9740232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Team Secret Whales61c326.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.586566.2%43 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc112…3841backed Movistar KOI36c317.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4307…df08backed Movistar KOI29c307.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.941338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Team Secret Whales60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12021754.8%119 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d0cfbacked Team Secret Whales34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x399a…ba5fbacked Team Secret Whales32c280$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.67454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d5…f86cbacked Team Secret Whales30c275.02$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.879136.3%33 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Team Secret Whales29c256.47$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0936433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Movistar KOI68c234.63$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.882853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23f7…cb68backed Movistar KOI43c219.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Movistar KOI10c202.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team Secret Whales34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13252538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Team Secret Whales19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.26944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed1d…6fd3backed Movistar KOI69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa14…ebb0backed Movistar KOI75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabe…94adbacked Team Secret Whales30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.998328.9%24 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92c…60e7backed Movistar KOI38c190$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.216828.6%48 W · 120 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1492…a2c9backed Movistar KOI55c182.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d75…1af0backed Movistar KOI69c181.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0f…a394backed Team Secret Whales42c171.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…7679backed Movistar KOI64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x383a…462bbacked Team Secret Whales65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+25.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Movistar KOI36c144.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Movistar KOI70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025752.1%134 W · 123 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…5688backed Team Secret Whales78c139.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.683537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3a…610abacked Movistar KOI72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a8…f341backed Movistar KOI72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Secret Whales29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9384050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0c…3a36backed Team Secret Whales79c135$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…59d3backed Team Secret Whales30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.335343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bf5…9e5cbacked Movistar KOI75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5f…df9ebacked Movistar KOI72c131.03$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.342119%4 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Team Secret Whales65c130$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Movistar KOI67c130$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.114544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57f9…9b63backed Movistar KOI15c126.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-89.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Team Secret Whales33c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.44156.1%23 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa20b…9940backed Team Secret Whales13c120$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.81050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.