TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc05a…9bf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37.9
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.29
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.4%+$16.11
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.85
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.63
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.92
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.16
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+188.7%+$26.22
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.18
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$8.85
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.86
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+165.7%+$165.74
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$362
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$112.31
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$34.29
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$48.27
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+84.7%+$27.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$45.07
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team USA Stars vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team USA Stripes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+68.5%+$163.01
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98.65
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+36.7%+$147.09
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$284.47
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+111.5%+$167.25
Suns vs. Jazzbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$134.36
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$53.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.