TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Blue Jays, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,174,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,574,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,174,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Blue Jays36c1,249,240$447,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447,138.491145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d9…5ee1backed Dodgers65c1,021,553$659,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362,543.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Dodgers80c483,225$385,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,470.115353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5afb…4511backed Blue Jays35c400,836$141,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,251.581241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Dodgers64c300,000$192,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,0003450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers62c200,986$124,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,230.81,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Dodgers65c179,294$116,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,752.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Dodgers64c141,707$91,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,46313246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jays38c121,257$45,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,851.152347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays35c110,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,499.897651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers43c100,051$42,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,480.8853150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays35c100,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,00025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Dodgers64c95,000$61,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,999.956855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays35c90,236$31,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,885.5443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Blue Jays41c80,000$32,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,799.981963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Dodgers66c77,683$51,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,365.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Dodgers59c77,426$45,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,713.343554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Dodgers64c75,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0006058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Blue Jays47c58,830$27,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,530.921850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Dodgers64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Dodgers62c47,500$29,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,933.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays41c44,271$18,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,147.521,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays50c41,476$20,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,730.4478445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays38c39,506$15,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,188.3360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays35c35,035$12,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,317.456653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Blue Jays26c34,117$8,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,947.9625240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Dodgers55c32,774$17,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,850.2114153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa74c…64a0backed Dodgers65c31,088$20,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,965.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Blue Jays40c30,996$12,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,352.692227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers64c30,510$19,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,868.1713065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Dodgers62c29,966$18,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.576660.6%40 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Blue Jays44c26,709$11,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,656.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Blue Jays36c25,041$8,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,983.683145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Dodgers64c22,724$14,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,180.6220850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays35c22,530$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,950.4811759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Dodgers64c21,519$13,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,746.917156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers62c20,382$12,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,747.757753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Blue Jays53c18,685$9,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,829.119666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x188c…c62bbacked Dodgers65c18,454$11,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,458.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays34c16,823$5,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,66319649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers65c15,979$10,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,662.842,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9a…6a03backed Blue Jays41c15,962$6,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,484.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Dodgers54c15,950$8,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,304.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays51c15,346$7,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,876.7312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Dodgers65c14,806$9,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,248.813745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb7…6e92backed Blue Jays32c14,608$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7141030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers60c13,747$8,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,494.449,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays35c13,551$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,706.741546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…efa4backed Blue Jays36c13,301$4,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…a5afbacked Dodgers65c12,169$7,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b6…5a9ebacked Blue Jays36c12,169$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,380.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Blue Jays36c11,534$4,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,152.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10e7…ee84backed Blue Jays35c11,520$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays42c11,314$4,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.571,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Blue Jays42c11,225$4,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,663.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Blue Jays43c10,716$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.512437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Dodgers65c10,641$6,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,724.266100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fad…30cebacked Dodgers65c10,200$6,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb25…23e1backed Dodgers36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,4002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Blue Jays35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.967349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Dodgers63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9393240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Blue Jays40c9,897$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,941.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Blue Jays32c9,217$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.4140%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x939a…3e95backed Dodgers64c8,699$5,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6364…cb38backed Blue Jays36c8,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Blue Jays1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803112.9%4 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+339.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e24…f1bdbacked Dodgers64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Dodgers65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.315745.6%26 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Dodgers65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.3110647.2%50 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b2…c7bfbacked Dodgers65c7,692$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6253…20a6backed Dodgers69c7,625$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe012…d14bbacked Dodgers57c7,115$4,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+64.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5787…7660backed Dodgers64c7,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8012…020fbacked Blue Jays36c7,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays50c6,973$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.4745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Dodgers64c6,926$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa447…cc98backed Dodgers65c6,900$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Blue Jays44c6,871$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Blue Jays29c6,798$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays53c6,731$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.6368656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays36c6,720$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.5288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Dodgers64c6,500$4,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3231275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers53c6,191$3,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,909.8335854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jays35c6,090$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.4511551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9922142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Dodgers65c5,896$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.372356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a76…9aa9backed Dodgers69c5,758$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked Blue Jays26c5,640$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.969435.1%33 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Dodgers66c5,388$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a27…71b9backed Blue Jays45c5,031$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Blue Jays44c5,009$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.491172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Dodgers56c5,000$2,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Blue Jays40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.742536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Blue Jays35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Dodgers56c4,992$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.92360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Dodgers55c4,936$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays34c4,887$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.583444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902b…ca29backed Blue Jays43c4,586$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays41c4,545$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.134,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Dodgers56c4,354$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.11070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.