MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d89897997f0250cb26dc4be11db9f0ab54c1ad64c98db567981ad7e4bde88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Los Angeles Dodgers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 79,431$41,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,094.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 66,036$32,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,297.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 22,792$11,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,167.87 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 9,668$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 8,846$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.65 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 7,292$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 2,888$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,927$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.87 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,862$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,668$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.64 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,373$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.12 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.26 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 947$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.18 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006f…b3efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 699.52$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.78 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…2506backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 596.77$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 579.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…1ee8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 469.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7607backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…3eafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 255$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…4d6cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 203.87$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 185.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 176.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…fb0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 173.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 15c | 154.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 137.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…331bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 100.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…0f05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 71.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 58.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 304 | 46.4%141 W · 163 L | -25.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…4806backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…1f44backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 49.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 43.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…0bb1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…0ce6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…0c94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 34.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 34.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b2…2cc1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jays vs. DodgersDodgers won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.