Lol · resolved market
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f938819ea4242f34e6a35a1142b95fd8c8b1727d13830be1bf7a7af8dd1617e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CTBC Flying Oysterof MVK Esports, CTBC Flying Oyster
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MVK Esports | 35c | 5,795$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.84 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MVK Esports | 3c | 3,531$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked MVK Esports | 1c | 2,919$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MVK Esports | 2c | 2,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 62c | 2,200$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…dcb0backed MVK Esports | 2c | 2,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed MVK Esports | 9c | 1,911$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed MVK Esports | 11c | 1,420$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed MVK Esports | 21c | 1,352$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MVK Esports | 8c | 1,026$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 67c | 1,017$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.53 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed MVK Esports | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked MVK Esports | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45e…bd43backed MVK Esports | 6c | 882.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 766.93$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed MVK Esports | 40c | 639.92$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked MVK Esports | 9c | 585.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed MVK Esports | 43c | 462.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed MVK Esports | 8c | 214.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed MVK Esports | 16c | 183.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed MVK Esports | 25c | 167.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…db9fbacked MVK Esports | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 110.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 444 | 70%311 W · 133 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed MVK Esports | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 108.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdf…cbd9backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 70c | 94.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 70c | 94.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed MVK Esports | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 404 | 35.1%142 W · 262 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 71c | 71.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…18cabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 53.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 67c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…b9e9backed MVK Esports | 26c | 41.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 64c | 32.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 191 | 68.6%131 W · 60 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…9c18backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…9bf0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 60c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…e5ddbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 WinnerMVK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.