NBA · resolved market
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ef72894b73130e8f9252007c9e226e42d74d88d54afa67b093309d35a16332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 45c | 132,004$59,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,512.31 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 34,024$16,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,140.32 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked No | 57c | 23,740$13,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,168.37 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked No | 59c | 23,493$13,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,596.79 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 73c | 23,151$16,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,266.28 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 54c | 17,484$9,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.27 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 45c | 14,344$6,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,454.93 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 51c | 12,139$6,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,971.05 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4972…2cc8backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Yes | 44c | 11,300$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.98 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 41c | 11,019$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.28 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 41c | 10,807$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.49 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.93 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 58c | 9,822$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.89 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked No | 76c | 9,531$7,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.65 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Yes | 42c | 7,654$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.23 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Yes | 29c | 6,039$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 55c | 5,440$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.85 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 58c | 5,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.93 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 4,359$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 8c | 4,076$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 4,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.93 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Yes | 18c | 3,788$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 31c | 3,380$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.68 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 71c | 3,220$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.7 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.98 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 47c | 2,658$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…a2ebbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,408$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…163ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,984$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Yes | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed No | 58c | 1,875$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 48c | 1,870$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.46 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,854$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 65c | 1,782$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.17 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,736$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.92 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 59c | 1,595$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.08 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 1,561$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.35 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 58c | 1,560$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 66c | 1,528$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.27 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,466$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.14 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 41c | 1,323$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 30c | 1,289$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 40c | 1,255$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 48c | 1,186$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.45 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 32c | 1,100$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…fc4cbacked No | 59c | 1,071$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…03c0backed Yes | 34c | 1,055$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…4363backed Yes | 42c | 1,040$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…e13bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,017$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…b8e7backed Yes | 50c | 1,003$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 45c | 1,001$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.17 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…a7d1backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Yes | 35c | 930.83$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.66 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…e58fbacked Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 41c | 921.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 47c | 886$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.74 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…94fabacked Yes | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…2a13backed Yes | 44c | 792.59$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…c356backed Yes | 42c | 753.84$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4721backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 745.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.34 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…33b0backed Yes | 38c | 733.58$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663d…7d23backed Yes | 41c | 719.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked Yes | 42c | 718.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 59c | 717$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…700ebacked Yes | 48c | 715.34$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeeb…540dbacked No | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes | 44c | 687.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes | 48c | 618.15$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…02bebacked Yes | 40c | 616.46$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1595…3c25backed Yes | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 48c | 592.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 44c | 558.25$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…9bf0backed No | 73c | 547.74$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8e…00abbacked Yes | 42c | 547.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…3c86backed Yes | 42c | 533.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 43c | 506.57$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 65c | 505.77$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.46 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…1f44backed Yes | 40c | 499.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 51c | 486.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 50c | 479.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b3…507fbacked No | 54c | 473.98$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.03 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 447.17$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?this page
- Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?Yes won
- Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.