NBA · resolved market
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793ec29359efe7ddb03da38e26250296b0eb3e7ccf73fd59bfaec1b03eec0985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b07…96febacked Yes | 1c | 27,501$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 31c | 13,750$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.99 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Yes | 40c | 10,010$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 9,666$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.6 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 61c | 8,197$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.3 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Yes | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked No | 43c | 7,290$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.4 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 66c | 5,987$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.04 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 51c | 5,821$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.96 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes | 28c | 5,267$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.86 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 3,790$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.35 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 3,586$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…b72fbacked Yes | 59c | 3,565$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 3,445$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.03 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Yes | 51c | 3,091$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.64 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…edc7backed Yes | 48c | 2,922$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 1c | 2,148$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 19c | 2,139$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.21 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.43 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 40c | 1,917$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.35 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 64c | 1,733$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 41c | 1,578$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.19 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…d4a9backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Yes | 61c | 1,280$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.48 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 40c | 1,260$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.8 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…934ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 1,184$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 30c | 1,137$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Yes | 25c | 1,134$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,126$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.31 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,100$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…2429backed Yes | 13c | 1,035$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…9d28backed Yes | 33c | 1,019$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 71c | 937.62$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.58 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 32c | 934.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7064…1b74backed Yes | 60c | 933.49$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…62cfbacked Yes | 61c | 918.03$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 41c | 910.2$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.02 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 68c | 854.58$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…f6e0backed Yes | 35c | 853.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 39c | 809.71$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4430backed Yes | 31c | 807.88$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 765.09$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.02 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 28c | 665.64$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…9ddcbacked Yes | 4c | 570.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 556.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.47 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked No | 68c | 499.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 13c | 430$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…e58fbacked Yes | 48c | 416.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 5c | 410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes | 61c | 367.21$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Yes | 31c | 354.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Yes | 21c | 341$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…b5aabacked Yes | 21c | 340$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…b834backed Yes | 59c | 336.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…9e94backed Yes | 30c | 335.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 31c | 329.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…0507backed No | 75c | 325.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Yes | 32c | 310.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 59c | 305$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 301.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 29c | 299.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…94a4backed Yes | 48c | 296.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1e0fbacked Yes | 59c | 289.05$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked No | 40c | 285.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…1debbacked Yes | 31c | 282.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Yes | 19c | 281.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 28c | 279$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…4e7ebacked Yes | 31c | 264.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…509abacked Yes | 51c | 262.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…fc45backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 26.7%31 W · 85 L | -16.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 68c | 240$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…eee1backed Yes | 32c | 238$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked No | 70c | 228.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…c2dabacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Yes | 32c | 218.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 14c | 214.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…da19backed Yes | 45c | 211.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…455ebacked Yes | 40c | 210$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 8c | 208$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…8c75backed Yes | 34c | 202.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…637dbacked Yes | 28c | 197.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…bf55backed No | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 710 | 53.9%383 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 30c | 185$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 38c | 174.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f03…6dfcbacked Yes | 46c | 172.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?this page
- Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?Yes won
- Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.