NBA · resolved market
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f8d20fc05cc48cb1a6eaf7f2143a829da498cd22fafa747c0d2cc071b132ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes | 41c | 44,697$18,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,391.95 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.87 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 31c | 32,246$10,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,129.65 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 73c | 26,394$19,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,235.45 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 24,726$13,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,798.23 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,699.91 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…0873backed No | 73c | 12,972$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 27c | 10,895$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,953.03 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…d9d1backed Yes | 44c | 8,457$3,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 39c | 6,545$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,014.4 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdced…5fc5backed No | 0c | 6,069$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 42c | 5,999$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.06 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 34c | 4,633$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 63c | 3,939$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.49 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 3,886$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.41 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 30c | 3,414$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.25 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfee…f539backed No | 72c | 3,245$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 30c | 2,999$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.38 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0d35backed Yes | 42c | 2,969$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yes | 42c | 2,910$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 42c | 2,690$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.19 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…4f1bbacked Yes | 30c | 2,517$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.49 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Yes | 41c | 2,447$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Yes | 49c | 2,404$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.76 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Yes | 42c | 2,390$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.49 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed Yes | 22c | 2,029$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 48c | 1,934$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,764$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.83 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,684$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 42c | 1,585$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Yes | 76c | 1,578$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.07 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db5…ee52backed No | 75c | 1,537$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 65c | 1,497$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.7 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 71c | 1,400$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.94 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.01 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 1c | 1,214$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed No | 1c | 1,135$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Yes | 38c | 1,058$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 28c | 975.57$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed No | 75c | 966.5$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.58 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 34c | 923.13$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.24 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 897.39$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.15 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 28c | 884.44$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 69c | 874.97$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.93 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…33b0backed Yes | 41c | 779.87$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 39c | 777.97$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.03 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 31c | 718.61$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.27 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Yes | 42c | 715.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Yes | 42c | 712.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…b8e7backed Yes | 35c | 706.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 72c | 668.28$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.54 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Yes | 74c | 581.62$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…700ebacked No | 9c | 564.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked Yes | 28c | 543.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +294.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…3d75backed No | 72c | 529$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 147 | 38.1%56 W · 91 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed Yes | 31c | 506.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 29c | 506.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725d…e49abacked Yes | 43c | 468.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…94a4backed Yes | 44c | 462.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…d9aebacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 75c | 450$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Yes | 43c | 433.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…b564backed No | 72c | 426.58$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Yes | 40c | 420.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 41c | 410$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 57c | 400$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…9bf0backed No | 73c | 389.68$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…2429backed Yes | 42c | 388.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed No | 71c | 380.98$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 27c | 368.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.76 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…05e1backed No | 80c | 362.5$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Yes | 40c | 342.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 338.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 471 | 34.2%161 W · 310 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 42c | 309.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.43 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed No | 68c | 295.46$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 42c | 280.03$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 27c | 274.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.95 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a7…a2f0backed No | 75c | 273.33$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 259.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 23c | 256.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.6 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…b6c3backed Yes | 42c | 246.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 59c | 246$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 38c | 213.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…90f4backed No | 72c | 213.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Yes | 27c | 205$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…4bd1backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ab…2554backed Yes | 29c | 196$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 194.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15be…5143backed No | 75c | 177.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…2859backed Yes | 30c | 169.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 42c | 160.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…30abbacked Yes | 31c | 156.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?this page
- Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?No won
- Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.