TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc62a…a8ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT14032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 140 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,328.57
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.79
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.68
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$128.36
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.59
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$82.43
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$99.4
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.85
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$85.81
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 140 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.13
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.32
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.7
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.27
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.67
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.17
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.26
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$103.4
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$79.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$787.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.